onlydarksets
01-01-2007, 01:31 AM
We're not grading on potential, we're grading on performance.
True, but I'm grading his performance as a second-year player starting in a timing offense in the middle of the season. In absolute terms it's a C-. Given the context I just mentioned, I think it's a B+.
GTripp0012
01-01-2007, 02:26 AM
Speaking sabremetrically for a second:
I emailed the guy who created the QB projection system (which uses college stats; games started and comp. % to project relative NFL success). His system projected JC to have Palmer/Manning like production in his prime, and that obscenely high projection caused him to write an article titled Will Jason Campbell save the Redskins? (http://www.footballoutsiders.com/2006/11/18/ramblings/stat-analysis/4563/)
He mentions that his system also projected Campbell to be producing about "4 DPAR per game above replacement (replacement=average NFL backup, DPAR=points (scored minus costed) credited to an individual player adjusted for defenses he faced)" in his second season, or translated to conventional terms: a hair below the production Brunell gave us this season.
I don't have the final DPAR numbers from what amounted to be Campbell's best game as a pro Saturday, so it'd be unfair to judge his season without his best game, but I'm estimating that he will nearly double his season total. If he does, he will have averaged about 2.5 DPAR/G for the year, well below his projection.
What really impressed me was his running skills. All the scouting reports said he had mobility, something we had in Brunell. Campbell not only showed he had pocket presence and escape like that, but that once he encountered defenders, he is still a threat to go around or through them to get yardage. That was very impressive, and obviously an element of the position that Brunell didn't give us.
On the whole, I thought he'd get it a lot sooner, and one game is hardly enough to be certain that he did get it. But on the same side of the coin, he only had 7 starts, so it's tough to see improvement with any certainty.
His Giants game gets a solid A, but the season on a whole gets a C+ from me. He didn't complete enough passes, which is all a QB can control when it boils down to it, until that last game to warrent higher than a C, but I moved him up to a C+ because of his mad running skillz and his intangibles.
GTripp0012
01-01-2007, 02:43 AM
Solid B...You can't ask for anything more out of a QB's 1st 7 starts. He played well enough to win most of those games were it not for the worst defense in the NFL backing him up.I think any QB in this league can complete at least 55%. I think Jason was too careless with the football trying to force it downfield oftentimes, at least in his first 5 starts. I noticed significant improvement in the Rams game and (not so) conicidentily, we scored 31 pts, even though he was inaccurate, and still completed a low %. But at least he was learning.
Against NYG, he put it all togehter, and was careful (cept the pick) with the ball while being accurate underneath. We had our best offensive game since Jacksonville.
EXoffender
01-01-2007, 01:43 PM
With all the changes the team has been through, no player on this team deserves more or less than a C. The bright spot would have to be the OL play though. And Betts benefitted from this the most.
CrazyCanuck
01-01-2007, 08:29 PM
2006: B-
2nd half vs. Giants: A
GhettoDogAllStars
01-02-2007, 01:18 AM
I gave him a C, based on the following scale:
A - Near perfection (e.g.: Peyton Manning)
B - Above average (e.g.: Tom Brady)
C - Average (e.g.: Jon Kitna)
D - Below average (e.g.: Bruce Gradkowski)
F - Terrible (e.g.: Andrew Walter)
I could never expect a first year starter to be anything more than average. I'm quite pleased and relieved.
jsarno
01-02-2007, 08:54 PM
I gave him a C, based on the following scale:
A - Near perfection (e.g.: Peyton Manning)
B - Above average (e.g.: Tom Brady)
C - Average (e.g.: Jon Kitna)
D - Below average (e.g.: Bruce Gradkowski)
F - Terrible (e.g.: Andrew Walter)
I could never expect a first year starter to be anything more than average. I'm quite pleased and relieved.
absolutely agree...great assessment by the way.
Monkeydad
01-04-2007, 11:52 AM
I give him a B:
Why not an A? A few mistakes (judgement) on interceptions, although 2 of his INTs were batted balls and not entirely his fault. Also, he seems to miss Cooley a lot when he's WIDE OPEN in the middle of the field.
He has a cannon for an arm and runs for first downs when he doesn't have a throw. He runs like a RB too, a big powerful RB...breaking tackles, using stiffarms.
:)
The Zimmermans
01-04-2007, 12:00 PM
10 td's 6 pics, enough said. Brunell had 8 TD's!!!!! in less games. Jason brought us a passing game....instead of a 2nd running game(which brunell did). Anyone think that the running game might have opened up for a reason????? I give him a B. I'm liking him more and more as he is able to make reads and escape pressure.
freddyg12
01-04-2007, 12:31 PM
I gave him a C due to his inaccuracy & lateness on some throws, but I think a C is pretty good for his 1st 7 starts. I agree w/Matty, the sky's the limit for JC if he can just keep improving a litle each week. Anyone that isn't excited about having him as our qb is a little too bitter for me. He gives us the most hope we've had since Brad Johnson.