Most Likely First Round Bust

I'm going with BJ Raji. Top college DT's seem to bust quite a bit or be ho-hum type of players once they get to the NFL.

I'm going with Mark Sanchez. I don't think he had enough college experience to become a good NFL QB.

Here are my likely busts:
1) Sanchez - way overhyped, won't come anywhere close to expectations. LA & NY are two different animals. It'll be interesting to see how he responds when the weather gets bad, he's playing a tough D, he makes a mistake or two and the fans start to boo. He'll be wishing he stayed in the warm sunshine of USC and my guess is he won't respond very well at all.

2) Andre Smith - He'll be pushing 4-bills and be involved in off-field incidents.

3) Heyward-Bey - How can anyone be successful with the Raiders?

4) Larry English - Numbers are inflated from weak competition, will be a back-up, nothing more. Injuries will likely be an issue.

5) Percy Harvin - coached against him at HS level, never seen anyone so fast in person. However, questionable hands, route running suspect, off-field issues probable, injuries probable. Didn't return kicks or punts at UF. Will struggle when he can't outrun everyone at the NFL level.

Man, listening to Jason la Confora this morning on Comcast, it sound slike he thinks Rak Attack is gonna suck. He's such a negative little prick.

I think Matthew Stafford is gonna get killed in Detroit. He's my bust pick.

Man, listening to Jason la Confora this morning on Comcast, it sound slike he thinks Rak Attack is gonna suck. He's such a negative little prick.I heard that too. What did JLC say, he thought Orakpo would end up as an average player at best. Part of me gets slightly worried when I hear that sort of thing but then I remember the source.

^Seriously, Jason La Confora is so annoying. Larry Michael used to make my skin crawl but now I find him refreshing after hearing the negative BS pumped out by JLC. No matter what pick we would have made, he would have taken the opposite stance.

If we would ahve drafted lineman late, he would have said "How are you going to get anything out of a 6th rounder? What a waste."

I hope he gets a chance to interview Orakpo and he shits his pants witnessing such a physical specimen.

And if we passed on Orakpo I can only imagine JLC ranting on how we yet again ignored the DL and missed the chance to have a quality pass rush threat.

Darrius Heyward-Bey is likely to enjoy some level of good QB play before the end of 2011 in Oakland, and I would not tag him as a likely bust, even though the longer he withers in Oakland the more likely it will become.

Hakeem Nicks will bust in New York. Aaron Maybin has a good chance to bust in Buffalo. Jeremy Maclin, I don't see him ever climbing the depth chart in Philly. Even with three receivers, they'd have to let some of their better players go to make room for him, and that would be a mistake. Larry English could wash out very, very easily in San Diego.

Freeman is a huge question mark, because I don't think he's in a good situation in Tampa. I do favor his potential though over, say, Stafford, who I think as crazy as this may sound, will not bust because he's in a much better situation. Sanchez, I think, is in a better situation than Freeman, and will have a league average career.

But if I'm being asked for just one name of whom will fail epically, I'm going with Percy Harvin in Minnesota.

I listened to KC Joyner, "football scientist", last night on espn radio & found his analysis of players very insightful. He said he studied the routes of wr's & after comparing them, had this to say:

1) Heyward Bey did not run that many vertical routes in college, but it was the one route that he ran well. He doesn't cut very quickly & doesn't run most routes very efficiently. Not great hands either.

2) Percy Harvin didn't run many vertical routes, despite the press about his great speed. Overall he didn't run a wide variety of routes & Fla. got him the ball in a variety of ways, including handoffs.

3) Hakeem Nicks doesn't have great "vertical speed" but he gets in & out of his breaks quickly & runs the deep in, 20 yards & cut inside, very well. He compared him to Torry Holt, a wr that never had great speed but could get open downfield. He felt there were only some fairly minor tweaks to his route running that were needed to make him an effective pro.

I saw Nicks a few times & thought he had great hands & was a strong, physical wr. I liked him before, but I think he might be the best of this class after listening to Joyner.

Overall Joyner thought Harvin & Heyard-Bey were much lesser wr's at this point & he questioned if both were capable of being good nfl recievers.

I don't know, the games I saw he seemed to be running everything. I mean you don't catch 100 balls in Div 1 football and not have some seriosu talent. Now I know the Big 12 isn't the SEC but that's still serious production.Chase Daniel is also maybe the best QB Missouri has ever had. If he had stayed next year and produced even more with they next guy, I'd say that I'd feel a lot more confident about his pro prospects.

Right now, I look at his frame and keep hearing about his general lack of intangibles and just wonder, "how are they going to use this guy?"