Expectations for Griff and the 2012 Offense

I'm gonna break my expectations down in categories:

(1) Project Griffin into the offense we've seen thus far with NO changes to the offense

(2) Project Griff into the offense but with a more balanced run/pass attack

Category (1)

avg: 598 atts (IIRC would be a NFL record for a rookie)
avg: 7.5 ypa (gave Griff a bump in ypa b/c of his deep ball acccuracy and improved WRs targets)
avg: 58.1 comp %
avg: 3.35 TD %
avg: 3.1 INT % (lowered the INT % b/c Rex is well Rex; he's an INT anomaly for the offense)

pluggin Griff into the offense with the above factors:

4,485 yards
58.1 comp %
20 TDs
18 INTs


(W-L) 7-9

I'm gonna break my expectations down in categories:

(1) Project Griffin into the offense we've seen thus far with NO changes to the offense

(2) Project Griff into the offense but with a more balanced run/pass attack

Category (1)

avg: 598 atts
avg: 7.5 ypa (gave Griff a bump in ypa b/c of his deep ball acccuracy and improved WRs targets)
avg: 58.1 comp %
avg: 3.35 TD %
avg: 3.1 INT % (lowered the INT % b/c Rex is well Rex; he's an INT anomaly for the offense)

pluggin Griff into the offense with the above factors:

4,485 yards
58.1 comp %
20 TDs
18 INTs


(W-L) 7-9


what about W/L vs NFCE?

Lol!! I hear ya, there is a great chance Kyle is gona screw this up. After watching his pregame speech to the offense before the Eagles game last year i lost what little hope i had in him. There is no way he has gained any respect in the locker room. And then the new secondary coach talking smack during practice punking him down. Shakin my head. But i think RG3 maybe smart enough to overcome daddys little helper.

Kyle is the most popular coach on the team, and one of the most popular people in the organization.

I'm gonna break my expectations down in categories:

(1) Project Griffin into the offense we've seen thus far with NO changes to the offense...
pluggin Griff into the offense with the above factors:

598 attempts
4,485 yards
58.1 comp %
20 TDs
18 INTs

(W-L) 7-9
(1) Project Griffin into the offense we've seen thus far with NO changes to the offense...

I forgot to factor in Griffin's rushing which changes the numbers for me.
Some possible pass attempts/incompletions/completion will become successful rushing yards.
Which lower his pass yards but raise his comp % and lower his int %.
And Griffin's playmaking could result in a few more TDs.


543 atts---(598 atts avg - 55 imprv(15 call) rushing attempts)
347~(ish) comp--- (some completions will also turn into runs)
455 rush yards--(70 attempts @ 6.5 ypc)
4,072 pass yards
61 comp %
23 TDs
15 INT

3-3 NFC East
7-9 Overall

I really don't like to my predictions when it comes to stats, but I do have expections for this offense.

RG3

I think he's going to be really good right out the gate. With his elite speed, athleticism, and passing ability I expect him to make a lot of explosive plays. However, I also expect him to make some bad reads here, throw some interceptions, miss some guys here and there, etc. All in all I think he will be the NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year.

Fred Davis

I think Fred Davis is going to have a huge year. This guy is very talented. He'll have 1000 yds this season.

WR I think Garcon is going to be a lot better than what people think. He's going to make a lot of big plays. I'm not sure about Morgan. There is no doubt that he's talented, however, lets see how he rebounds from that injury. The same goes for Hankerson as well. I see this guy got all the tools, but he's coming off of hip surgery. I have to see how he looks when he gets back on the field. I think Moss will be effective.

He seems to have a good head on his shoulders. And that he seems smart not just physically but mentally and emotionally as well. Not just as a player but as a person it seems.

Offense 21 PPG
record: 9-7
3-3 NFCE

Gryphon:
59% comp.
6.9 YPA
2850 yards
24 TD
14 INT
550 rushing yards

Garcon 75-1150-7
Morgan 70-950-4
Moss 65-90-3
Davis 80-980-7

Running back by committee:
2200 yards - 15 TD
leading rusher: Helu
most TDs: Royster

^^Wow, that would be an impressive and welcome paradigm shift in terms of the offense.

Last year the rushing game produced 1614 yards (25th) on 400 att (25th)
If we had 2200 rush yards this year it would rank 6th in the NFL.

I gotta ask though, why/how so few passing yards?

Offense 21 PPG
record: 9-7
3-3 NFCE

Gryphon:
59% comp.
6.9 YPA
2850 yards
24 TD
14 INT
550 rushing yards

Garcon 75-1150-7
Morgan 70-950-4
Moss 65-90-3
Davis 80-980-7

Running back by committee:
2200 yards - 15 TD
leading rusher: Helu
most TDs: Royster

Are these assuming someone other than Griffin is throwing passes at some point? Otherwise, the mathz don't seem right.

^^Wow, that would be an impressive and welcome paradigm shift in terms of the offense.

Last year the rushing game produced 1614 yards (25th) on 400 att (25th)
If we had 2200 rush yards this year it would rank 6th in the NFL.

I gotta ask though, why/how so few passing yards?

Passing yards because Gryphon is a rookie.

As far as the "paradigm shift," I don't see it that way as much as I am just accounting for the fact that Griff will add yards on the ground that Wrecks/Beck did not.