Cool site - chances of Redskins making the playoffs
 

Someone sent me this cool link today, check it out

[url=http://www.sportsclubstats.com/NFL/NFC/East/Redskins.html]Washington Redskins Playoff Picture - Sports Club Stats[/url]

Re: Cool site - chances of Redskins making the playoffs
 

We should sticky this and make it the official scenario thread

Re: Cool site - chances of Redskins making the playoffs
 

Pretty cool site. Nice numbers too. Although I need to add that his numbers are incorrect on one thing...if we win out (go 3-0) he says we have a 96% chance of making the playoffs. It's 100%. Minnesota is the only team above us, and if we win out, that means we beat them, if we beat them, we have the tie breaker and we go to the playoffs. No 4% doubt. It's 100%.

Re: Cool site - chances of Redskins making the playoffs
 

[QUOTE=jsarno;391784]Pretty cool site. Nice numbers too. Although I need to add that his numbers are incorrect on one thing...if we win out (go 3-0) he says we have a 96% chance of making the playoffs. It's 100%. Minnesota is the only team above us, and if we win out, that means we beat them, if we beat them, we have the tie breaker and we go to the playoffs. No 4% doubt. It's 100%.[/QUOTE]

But if we win out and the Saints win out, they're in because of conference record right?

Re: Cool site - chances of Redskins making the playoffs
 

[quote=jsarno;391784]Pretty cool site. Nice numbers too. Although I need to add that his numbers are incorrect on one thing...if we win out (go 3-0) he says we have a 96% chance of making the playoffs. It's 100%. Minnesota is the only team above us, and if we win out, that means we beat them, if we beat them, we have the tie breaker and we go to the playoffs. No 4% doubt. It's 100%.[/quote]

No i think if the Saints win out too then they will go. That is the 4 percent.

Re: Cool site - chances of Redskins making the playoffs
 

[QUOTE=SmootSmack;391787]But if we win out and the Saints win out, they're in because of conference record right?[/QUOTE]

OK, my bad...I thought we had the tie breaker on them, I guess we don't.

They have an easier path too. Atlanta, Arizona, Phily, and Chicago.

Re: Cool site - chances of Redskins making the playoffs
 

[quote=jsarno;391799]OK, my bad...I thought we had the tie breaker on them, I guess we don't.

They have an easier path too. Atlanta, Arizona, Phily, and Chicago.[/quote]


yup and that is why we should be intently watching the game right now.

Re: Cool site - chances of Redskins making the playoffs
 

[QUOTE=BigSKINBauer;391802]yup and that is why we should be intently watching the game right now.[/QUOTE]

Yeah, that catch by roddy white should have been a TD if they just threw it one more yard. Why bother throwing it if you're not going to get it in the endzone?

Re: Cool site - chances of Redskins making the playoffs
 

I think the saints have great chances to win out and we don't. Both philly and chicago are out and will be easier to beat. We have to play 3 tough teams, including Minnesota and NY on the road. I know it's still possible, but the Saints are a real pain in the ***

Re: Cool site - chances of Redskins making the playoffs
 

If we win out there is an 81.5% chance we make the playoffs if we win out
(any of the follow need to happen as well)
1)Saints need to lose one
2)Giants need to lose out,

If we go 8-8 our chances of getting in are 5.5%(There are a bunch of weird chances)
1)We lose to the Viks beat the Boys, the Viks lose to Denver and Chicago. Along with NYG losing out.
2)Thinking about more makes my head hurt lol....

Re: Cool site - chances of Redskins making the playoffs
 

Did Gtripp put this site together?

Re: Cool site - chances of Redskins making the playoffs
 

[quote=12thMan;394083]Did Gtripp put this site together?[/quote]

lol I don't think so but it's pretty cool because covers like every sport. It wouldn't be too hard, just the initial part of creating the code for each sport would take a while, along with entering data after every game.

Re: Cool site - chances of Redskins making the playoffs
 

[quote=hooskins;394085]lol I don't think so but it's pretty cool because covers like every sport. It wouldn't be too hard, just the initial part of creating the code for each sport would take a while, along with entering data after every game.[/quote]

I bet Tripp put it together and had a third party send it to Matty.

Some guys just don't want to look too smart. I tellya.

Re: Cool site - chances of Redskins making the playoffs
 

We control our own destiny, we just have to keep winning!!!!

Re: Cool site - chances of Redskins making the playoffs
 

Looking at week 17's schedule it looks like with awin next week we'll get to play another SNF game to cap off the regualr season. How sweet would that be? The last 3 games of the season all shown nationaly. Plus tail gaiting is so much easier at 4pm then 9am, and brings more rowdyness from the fans.

[URL="http://www.nfl.com/schedules#Week"]NFL Schedule: Regular Season[/URL]

Besides being the only divison rivalry game with a possible playoff brith its likely a homefield advantage deciding game for Dallas too.

Re: Cool site - chances of Redskins making the playoffs
 

[quote=skinsfaninok;394109]We control our own destiny, we just have to keep winning!!!![/quote]

Actually we don't. Even if we win out we might not make the playoffs.

Re: Cool site - chances of Redskins making the playoffs
 

[quote=mlmpetert;394114]Looking at week 17's schedule it looks like with awin next week we'll get to play another SNF game to cap off the regualr season. How sweet would that be? The last 3 games of the season all shown nationaly. Plus tail gaiting is so much easier at 4pm then 9am, and brings more rowdyness from the fans.

[URL="http://www.nfl.com/schedules#Week"]NFL Schedule: Regular Season[/URL]

Besides being the only divison rivalry game with a possible playoff brith its likely a homefield advantage deciding game for Dallas too.[/quote]

Yeah, but can't Fox protect a certain amount of games? Wouldn't it be more likely that the game would be moved to 4:15 and made (essentially) a national game with Aikman and Buck calling? Just asking, partly because I have a personal interest since I'm going to the game and wouldn't really want an 8:15 kick.

Re: Cool site - chances of Redskins making the playoffs
 

[QUOTE=SC Skins Fan;394128]Yeah, but can't Fox protect a certain amount of games? Wouldn't it be more likely that the game would be moved to 4:15 and made (essentially) a national game with Aikman and Buck calling? Just asking, partly because I have a personal interest since I'm going to the game and wouldn't really want an 8:15 kick.[/QUOTE]
[url=http://www.nfl.com/schedules/tv/flexible]NFL Flexible Scheduling[/url]
Nope, neither Fox or CBS has "any say" in which games get flex'ed. It's up to the NFL. Kinda funny how the NFL says "after consultation with CBS, FOX, NBC", then says the NFL schedules all games. I guess in this case consultation is Roger Goodell on the phone says this is how it's going to work...

Re: Cool site - chances of Redskins making the playoffs
 

[QUOTE=BDBohnzie;394138][url=http://www.nfl.com/schedules/tv/flexible]NFL Flexible Scheduling[/url]
Nope, neither Fox or CBS has "any say" in which games get flex'ed. It's up to the NFL. Kinda funny how the NFL says "after consultation with CBS, FOX, NBC", then says the NFL schedules all games. I guess in this case consultation is Roger Goodell on the phone says this is how it's going to work...[/QUOTE]

Counting this upcoming Saturday's game against Carolina, the Cowboys will have been on six times in primetime in 2007. If I remember right, 29 teams get a maximum of five primetime appearances per season. And three can get up to six (Pats and Cowboys have or will meet that number this season).

So I think it would be very difficult to move the Cowboys vs. Redskins to primetime...but stranger things have happened.

Re: Cool site - chances of Redskins making the playoffs
 

Didnt know it was this hard!

Now, on to flexing's rules. The NFL makes the game-swapping decisions. But CBS and Fox can each protect five of their regularly-scheduled Sunday afternoon games, but not two on the same weekend — and none for season-ending Week 17.

There's more. Only three NFL teams can appear as many as six times in primetime — on NBC, ESPN or the league's own NFL Network — and no team can appear more than four times on NBC. And NBC can't pick up games already slated for primetime on ESPN or the NFL Network.

I thought the Dallas Thanksgiving game was on CBS, if so that might not have counted towards the 6.

[url=http://www.usatoday.com/sports/columnist/hiestand-tv/2007-11-06-nbc-nfl-picks_N.htm]Patriots likely to rule NBC's 'flex' options down stretch - USATODAY.com[/url]

Re: Cool site - chances of Redskins making the playoffs
 

[QUOTE=mlmpetert;394159]Didnt know it was this hard!

Now, on to flexing's rules. The NFL makes the game-swapping decisions. But CBS and Fox can each protect five of their regularly-scheduled Sunday afternoon games, but not two on the same weekend — and none for season-ending Week 17.

There's more. Only three NFL teams can appear as many as six times in primetime — on NBC, ESPN or the league's own NFL Network — and no team can appear more than four times on NBC. And NBC can't pick up games already slated for primetime on ESPN or the NFL Network.

I thought the Dallas Thanksgiving game was on CBS, if so that might not have counted towards the 6.

[url=http://www.usatoday.com/sports/columnist/hiestand-tv/2007-11-06-nbc-nfl-picks_N.htm]Patriots likely to rule NBC's 'flex' options down stretch - USATODAY.com[/url][/QUOTE]

The Thanksgiving game technically wans't a primetime game. The primetime games were three on NBC (Giants, Bears, Eagles), one on ESPN (Bills) and two on NFL Network (Packers, Panthers).

Re: Cool site - chances of Redskins making the playoffs
 

[QUOTE=hooskins;394082]If we win out there is an 81.5% chance we make the playoffs if we win out
(any of the follow need to happen as well)
1)Saints need to lose one
2)Giants need to lose out,

If we go 8-8 our chances of getting in are 5.5%(There are a bunch of weird chances)
1)We lose to the Viks beat the Boys, the Viks lose to Denver and Chicago. Along with NYG losing out.
2)Thinking about more makes my head hurt lol....[/QUOTE]

hoo, I think I see your point. It all boils down to 23%, and hoping the Saints ain't got it! G-nomes, well, we already know what they ain't got!

Re: Cool site - chances of Redskins making the playoffs
 

It seems simple to me, we win out and the saints lose one.

Re: Cool site - chances of Redskins making the playoffs
 

Here is another good explanation of the playoff scenario (which, of course, got much more simple with the Vikings' win last night):
[URL="http://msn.foxsports.com/nfl/story/785806"]FOX Sports on MSN - NFL - NFL Playoff picture: If season ended today[/URL]