Don's Crystal Ball Week 2 picks
 

[CENTER][B][SIZE=5][COLOR=#0000ff]THE DON'S
Crystal Ball
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[/COLOR][/SIZE][/B][COLOR=#ff0000][CENTER][B]2008 SEASON
WEEK 2 PICKS[/B][/CENTER]
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[CENTER]By [COLOR=#ff0000][B]DonCanabis/D'BOYZ[/B][/COLOR]
Analyst/Godfather
[IMG]http://i46.photobucket.com/albums/f125/atw217/brando.png[/IMG][/CENTER]



Ok last week there were some surprises...specially Det getting there asses kicked by a rookie QB and HC. I did ok in my picks. I did good against the spread and Ovr/und (10-6) but bad in my hot picks with a 3-3 record, but what I liked the most was my big Upset of Chicago taking it to Indianapolis. I got so many mail and posts (different board) about how crazy I was for taking Chicago. Indianapolis hadn't lost a game in September...in I don't remember how many years and blah blah blah weeeeeellll how do you like them apples NOWWWWWW!!!!!

People think Week 1 is the hardest but I say week 2 is worse. First no team wants to be 0-2 only 19 teams that have went 0-2 have got in the playoffs in the history of the NFL. So history is against you...yeah last year 0-2 teams won it all so that tells you that much, but the reality is your chances to have a good season get reduced big time by going 0-2.

History hasn't been kind in the past 2 years for teams that are 0-1 facing teams that are 1-0. Out of 8 of these types of matches 1-0 teams won 6 of them in 2007 and in 2006 they won 8 of 9, the thing is finding those team that are pretenders from the contenders.

GL


[B]Chicago at Carolina[/B] -3 Ovr/Und 37

Chicago showed the defense that made it famous and the running game they have is a stamp of their offense. I new Forte would be a huge upgrade over Benson. Heck The fridge is an upgrade of that guy so I expect their offense to be balanced. I knew Carolina would match well against SD and it was going to be a close game and like I said damn Delhome had to make that pass at the end of the game and change my prediction. Forte is a little hurt so I will take Caroline to take this one.

[B]Straight:[/B] Car
[B]Spread:[/B] Car
[B]Ovr/Und[/B]: Ovr

[B]Buffalo at Jacksonville [/B]-5.5 Ovr/Und 37
[B]UPSET OF THE WEEK[/B]

For a team with such high expectations going 0-2 will be bad but this is a running team and they have lost 3 of their starting lineman. Buffalo looked really good last week but what impressed me the most was their defense and I don't see the Jaguars matching well against them specially with Stroud angry and smelling blood out of his old team.

[B]Straight:[/B] Buf
[B]Spread:[/B] Buf
[B]Ovr/Und:[/B] Over

[B]Oakland at Kansas City [/B]-3.5 Ovr/Und 36

Somebody has to win this sad game. Both teams suck. I didn't see one thing that impressed me or give me any hope both teams have good running games, but they do have BAD QB's and a questionable defense. Arrowhead is a hard place to win so I give them that advantage.

[B]Straight: [/B]KC
[B]Spread:[/B] Oak
[B]Ovr/Und: [/B]Under

[B]Indianapolis at Minnesota [/B]2 Ovr/Und 43.5
Would I dare go against the mighty Colts for 2 weeks straight? The colts that are soooo good in September...believe the Minnesota defense is going to be all over the face of the immobile Payton. Colts defense can't stop the run...sorry Payton better luck next week...call Eli and ask him for some pointers.

[B]Straight: [/B]Min
[B]Spread: [/B]Min
[B]Ovr/Und: [/B]Over

[B]New Orleans at Washington [/B]1 Ovr/Und 42

I liked the chances of NO more before their injuries showed up...specially on defense (colston,Fujita,harper and gay) but I can't go with a team that hasn't show me anything in 5 weeks. Both teams have bad defenses that are not so good. So it comes down to the offenses. I trust NO's offense way more than Zorns.

[B]Straight:[/B] NO
[B]Spread:[/B] NO
[B]Ovr/Und: [/B]Ovr

[B]New York Giants at St. Louis Rams[/B] -8.5 Ovr/Und 41.5

Man it smells more and more like a #1 pick for St. Louis is coming. They have to find a pass rush, but more importantly they need to learn to protect their QB. That offensive line is worse than a division A school's O-line, Ugly game.

[B]Straight: [/B]NYG
[B]Spread: [/B]NYG
[B]Ovr/Und:[/B] Ovr

[B]Green Bay at Detroit[/B] 3 Ovr/Und 46

Aaron looked really good in his debut. The defense Detroit has usually plays well against GB. I believe Atl caught Detroit by surprise and they're a little better than that. I will take the home team.

[B]Straight: [/B]Det
[B]Spread: [/B]Det
[B]Ovr/Und:[/B] Over

[B]Tennessee at Cincinnati[/B] -1 Ovr/Und 37

Cincinnati is a mess. Even their only good part...the offense looked really bad. Palmer looks lost out there like a rookie QB. He's making quick decisions. He looks hurt...I don't know what is wrong? Believe me, the best thing that could happen to the Titans was losing Young. They have a great defense and running game but the passing game always hurts them. Collins is a true pocket passer and will be an upgrade ifor them.

[B]Straight: [/B]Ten
[B]Spread:[/B] Ten
[B]Ovr/Und:[/B] Und

[B]San Francisco at Seattle[/B] -7 Ovr/Und 38.5

Another ugly game...both teams looked bad in their debut. Julius "has no more Juice" Jones looked 85 years old. there is an old saying in the NFL about games when everything else fails take the home team to win the game...take the home team in this one.
[B]
Straight: [/B]Seattle
[B]Spread:[/B] SF
[B]Ovr/Und: [/B]Und

[B]Atlanta at Tampa Bay [/B]-7 Ovr/Und 38

Can The rookie Qb go 2-0? I don't think so...also don't expect Turner have another 200 yard performance against this defense. Let's see how much of an improvement Griese is.

[B]Straight:[/B] TB
[B]Spread:[/B] TB
[B]Ovr/Und:[/B] Over

[B]Miami at Arizona[/B] -6.5 Ovr/Und 38.5

I expected more out of Kurt than he showed me in week 1. I was a little surprised at how miami played. Did they look good? No, but they showed heart. I wouldn't be surprised if Miami wins it, but Arizona is a more talented team right now.

[B]Straight: [/B]Ari
[B]Spread:[/B] Mia
[B]Ovr/Und:[/B] Under

[B]New England at New York Jets[/B] -1.5 Ovr/Und 37
Man how things change in 1 week. A whole season is lost in 1 play. Favre looked like Favre. zwith another week in the system he will get better. Cassell or whatever his name is will do better than most believe but not this week.

[B]Straight:[/B] NYJ
[B]Spread: [/B]NYJ
[B]Ovr/Und:[/B] Over

[B]San Diego at Denver[/B] 1.5 Ovr/Und 46

Like I said...I was suprised by Coutler's game last week. I didn't gave him enough credit. With Marshall back I won't make that msitake again. Also , remember L.T's hurt, Gates is hurt and Merriman gone. Sorry SD 1 more week like your first week is coming in week 2.

[B]Straight: [/B]Den
[B]Spread: [/B]Den
[B]Ovr/Und:[/B] Ovr

[B]Baltimore at Houston [/B]-4.5 Ovr/Und 37
Houston looked bad against a great defense this week. They face another great defense this week again. The difference this week is they don't face a good offense as well. Like I said, Houston is better than what they showed in week 1. Expect to see it this week.

[B]Straight: [/B]Hou
[B]Spread: [/B]Bal
[B]Ovr/Und:[/B] Under

[B]Pittsburgh at Cleveland[/B] 6 Ovr/Und 45
This will be a great game. I would feel better if Big Ben wasn't hurt, but Pitt has to much team for the Browns. At least right now. Pitt will blitz all day and stuff the run making them one dimensional. Sorry Romeo the hating continues for another week.

[B]Straight: [/B]Pit
[B]Spread: [/B]Pit
[B]Ovr/Und: [/B]Over

[B]Philadelphia at Dallas[/B]-7 Ovr/Und 47

This is the game of the week. Finally MNF has it right! Great match...two teams that will go at each other! Every NY and Wash fan in the nation will watch this game for 2 reasons. Hoping we kill each other and end up with some major injuries so they can make the playoffs by default. The second they get a chance to trash talk the loser they will! Dallas will take the game but it will be close. Bet the under in this match ( 47 ) it's to high for both these teams playing each other.

[B]Straight: [/B]Dallas
[B]Spread: [/B]Philadelphia
[B]Ovr/Und: [/B]Under

[B]Hot Picks[/B]

Buffalo
Minnesota
NYG
Tennessee
NYJ
Denver

Re: Don's Crystal Ball Week 2 picks
 

What an A-hole our defense will not be bad, We gave up 16 to the superbowl champs on the road, With no springs and a few bad calls. By the way did anyone see the maddden simulation prediction 44-27 skins.

Re: Don's Crystal Ball Week 2 picks
 

We have always played well against the saints.We beat them two years ago and we will beat them again.You will see that the defence is good if we can stop the run we can be great

Re: Don's Crystal Ball Week 2 picks
 

We should be able to run the ball all day with portis.Drew brees will give us a chance at some picks.Would be nice to see london fletcher take one to the house.

Re: Don's Crystal Ball Week 2 picks
 

Consider the source.

Re: Don's Crystal Ball Week 2 picks
 

redskins 27-saints -17

Re: Don's Crystal Ball Week 2 picks
 

Ok I will answer all at once because it's basically is the same why did I picked the Redskins to lose.

First of it has nothing to do with me being a Cowboys Fan I have done this for 3 years now and in my prediction I've called the redskins to win against Dallas in the past so that has nothing to do with it I call/predict each game as I see it don't put attention to the rivalries not with this.

So let's look at the facts
[LIST=1][*]The Redskins Offense has looked flat since the HOF game they just don't seem to get Zorn's Offense[*]Yes Horse you held the Giants to 16 but the reality is that the giants went into the redzone in their first 3 drives yes you held them to 3 points but the fact is that they were able to move and they scored points in 4 of the first 5 drives.your team manage to held them to no points in the second half but that had to do more with neither team actually doing anything. Your secondary is hurt and your top DE is also hurt and actually a liability out there.[*]Your QB looks lost, he pretty much looks like a rookie he made bad throws, wouldn't settle down was all over the place the whole game and that hasn't change.[*]N.O offense look really good against a tough TB defense they moved the ball well and were vertical you can say Colston injury hurt them but he wasn't so much of a factor in the last game.[*]You can't say this team can win a point fest which this game surely looks like until they show something.[/LIST]I know as fab we always thing/want our team to win each week but the reality is that wont happened, and what so bad of going 0-2 NY did it last year and they won it all.

after all the 5-11 season Dallas had I got to learned that even if my heart was to Dallas and I wanted them to win, my money had to go against them in those years they just sucked so I had two choices don't bet or bet against them and make some money.

Now I don't say your team sucks they have the talent but they have to get it together so they can win and it's starts with the QB playing better and the coach maturing and putting their teammates in a better position to win fast[INDENT]

[/INDENT]

Re: Don's Crystal Ball Week 2 picks
 

The FACT is, we play the game because we really don't know. I'm sure you did'nt think we would beat you last year and hold your offense to something like minus 2 yards rushing and you probably did'nt pick your team to lose in the first round of the playoffs. And I doubt you picked the Giants to beat the Patriots in the Super Bowl. The FACT is, opinons are like a**holes and yours is no different than anyone elses. I pick the Redskins because I believe they can win and they will win.

Re: Don's Crystal Ball Week 2 picks
 

[B]53 [/B]That's why it's call a prediction it can be wrong yes, some are better than others at it also yes, i have been betting for 12 years now and posted predictions the past 3 am I correct all the time hell no but i have a career 68% record against the spread which is pretty good because I take the game not my affiliation with the team.

in the 3 games you mention yes I picked Was to win the game and cover the spread last year because it was the last game of the season and dallas was playing for nothing and some of the starters wouldn't see some action because of the playoffs. In the NY game i picked dallas to win the game but NY to win the spread because I expected a close game and I was right in the betting world in the SB I picked NE to win the game but NY to win the spread again because Ne was a 13-16 point favorite (depending the place) and based on the previous match and how NY had been playing I expected a close game.... both playoff game made me a lot of money thank you... it's like this monday night game dal vs Phi i picked Phi to win the spread because they usually have close games their pretty even right now and their both performing at a high level so I expect a close match in this case I will bet against dallas because that's were the money is.

Again guys I'm not attacking your team or anything i'm just calling the game as I see it you might not agree off course heck I always disagree with Peter Kings picks and he's wrong more than 50% of the time he really suck at this.

You might read it and if you agree with it and if you make some money out of it well glad that I could help if after reading it you believe that I don't give any valid points and you want to place your bet to well madden said the redskins were going to win this game and that's your source fine by me... or just go with your gut just one thing when your betting on your team your gut it's wrong most of the times unless is an eeeeeeasy game like next week for you guys.

look i'm not attacking anybody or the team again I call it as I see it last week out of the 16 games I was 10-6, I got right some of the crazy ones like Chicago kicking Indianapolis, KC losing for less then 13 I believe it was, Carolina for the spread ( I didn't thought they'll win just not loose by 9 points), Buffalo kicking Seattle ass,and I was wrong in 6 of them Detroit and Oakland getting their ass kicked most notably. Nobody is 100% in this things heck the really good ones have barely above 70% but most are just over 60%.

Take it for what it is a prediction if it helps good if it doesn't well leave it at that.

Re: Don's Crystal Ball Week 2 picks
 

Someone should start a pool or contest for picks. I dont know there might already be one , Im new. Anyway Dboy knows his girls are gonna lose so hes tryin to rain on our parade. Hahaha I like this site

Re: Don's Crystal Ball Week 2 picks
 

Welcome to the site SeanTaGodsSafety !!!

Re: Don's Crystal Ball Week 2 picks
 

[quote=D'BOYZ;475541]but i have a career 68% record against the spread which is pretty good because I take the game not my affiliation with the team. [/quote]
If you have a career 68% record against the spread, I'm assuming you're retired and living in Vegas. :food-smil

Re: Don's Crystal Ball Week 2 picks
 

I guess we'll just have to see mr. cowboy. Colston being hurt will really slow down the passing game. As far as out offense N.O. D played good against a terrble O-line in tampa and the Saints are'nt exactly know for their Defense. Also we're at home in conference we must win!

Re: Don's Crystal Ball Week 2 picks
 

Don does have a pretty high winning percentage, and I think his goal is to be a handicapper or odds maker or somthing.

I think his Detriot pick is crazy. We'll see.

I was thinking a lot about the Redskins today, and you have to remember that theres a chance Cambell and Washington might be out. Plus Smoot, Springs, and Taylor might [I]all [/I]be lacking. I think this is a dangrous bet to make, solely because Zorn could mess it up. Its a game we should win and i think are going to win, but a first time palyer caller is making the calls and no one still really knows what he's going to do. Haveing a defense that may be weak (and also took a long time to adjust last week), coupled with a new coach that no one really knows what hes going to do makes it dangrous, i think.

I still pick us to win. Hopefull Zorn comes out of his shell

Re: Don's Crystal Ball Week 2 picks
 

[quote=Slingin Sammy 33;475563]If you have a career 68% record against the spread, I'm assuming you're retired and living in Vegas. :food-smil[/quote]


Well Sammy you're in the league you saw last week picks I usually make around 3-4k per season (that's how I can pay for the December Holliday's) I don't bet much no more than 120dlls per week and only on football and yeah peter is right my goal is to be a handicapper shit I do it because I like it but it wouldn't be bad to eventually make a living out of it.

Re: Don's Crystal Ball Week 2 picks
 

[quote=mlmpetert;475589]
I think his Detriot pick is crazy. We'll see.
[/quote]


Well pete each week there's at least 1 crazy game the one game that no one saw it comming last week it was Atlanta kicking Detroit ass and Chicago running over Indy.

Now everybody called me crazy for taking Chicago last week but sometimes you see games that the other team even if it isn't as good as the other match well against them.

That's the case of this game I have to agree that I felt better taking the Bears last week than the Lions this week specially because of how Detroit played but; Detroit wont have to worry about the running game as much with GB because Ryan Grant it's hurt and I expect them putting more pressure on Aaron.

Re: Don's Crystal Ball Week 2 picks
 

The more I think about the loss in NY and ahead to tomorrow's game the more convinced I become about Zorn and the offense going no huddle w/ set plays until they start to move the ball. And... if drives stall out again once Zorn takes over the play calling the offense should immediately go back to a predetermined set of plays. I think the strategy makes sense because it 1) allows the offense to practice the set plays to perfection and execution has been a major problem 2) it adds randomness to the offense which immediately helps us - otherwise superior coaching minds opposite our sideline are predicting Zorn's next move based on what just happened and Zorn doesn't look anywhere near ready to match tactic for tactic 3) the no huddle option usually puts defenses back on their heals and we need as much of that as possible.

I hope to see it tomorrow but who knows what Zorn has in mind.

Re: Don's Crystal Ball Week 2 picks
 

[quote=horse;475504]What an A-hole our defense will not be bad, We gave up 16 to the superbowl champs on the road, With no springs and a few bad calls. By the way did anyone see the maddden simulation prediction 44-27 skins.[/quote]
not saying the sky is fallying but how can you call him an A-hole and be so surprised. after last week i would honestly be suprised to come out of tomorrow with a win.

Re: Don's Crystal Ball Week 2 picks
 

I'm not saying the Skins need to win tomorrow or the season's done, but I need to see some offense, especially against a banged up Saints D. Campbell needs to start getting the ball out quicker and we need to hit some plays downfield. With the injuries to the Saints secondary and our past history of success against them (for whatever that's worth), I think the time is right for the offense to start to break out. And I think our D will be better than D'Boyz thinks (hell, we were missing Springs last week, had Rocky and Carlos in there first real game in a year, and Landry hadn't played basically all pre-season). They'll give up some points to Drew B (Shockey and Bush scare me a bit against our LB's), but they'll make enough plays to win. By the way D'Boyz, you talk a lot about the Giants early success in the game, but what about their complete lack of success in the 2nd half....? I pick the Skins in this one, 24-20....

Re: Don's Crystal Ball Week 2 picks
 

[quote=D'BOYZ;475595]Well Sammy you're in the league you saw last week picks I usually make around 3-4k per season (that's how I can pay for the December Holliday's) I don't bet much no more than 120dlls per week and only on football and yeah peter is right my goal is to be a handicapper shit I do it because I like it but it wouldn't be bad to eventually make a living out of it.[/quote]
I'll be keeping a close eye on it. 68% is very strong, much better than any handicapping service.

Re: Don's Crystal Ball Week 2 picks
 

[quote=beau_str;475607]not saying the sky is fallying but how can you call him an A-hole and be so surprised. after last week i would honestly be suprised to come out of tomorrow with a win.[/quote]

I said that because our defense will play well, It was top ten last year and we got Rocky and Carlos back and added J. Tayor

Re: Don's Crystal Ball Week 2 picks
 

I must say, only a pu$$y picks a team to win, but goes against them with the spread. Stop hedging, if you are going to pick the favorite, pick the favorite with the spread, too. Typical candy-a$$ fairy Cowb!tch fan.

Re: Don's Crystal Ball Week 2 picks
 

[quote=coggs;476571]I must say, only a pu$$y picks a team to win, but goes against them with the spread. Stop hedging, if you are going to pick the favorite, pick the favorite with the spread, too. [B]Typical candy-a$$ fairy Cowb!tch fan.[/B][/quote]

That's a burn.

Re: Don's Crystal Ball Week 2 picks
 

[quote=coggs;476571]I must say, only a pu$$y picks a team to win, but goes against them with the spread. Stop hedging, if you are going to pick the favorite, pick the favorite with the spread, too. Typical candy-a$$ fairy Cowb!tch fan.[/quote]

[quote=DynamiteRave;476573]That's a burn.[/quote]


What That's not a Burn!!! that's stupid and not knowing how to play the spread like last week game between NE and KC everybody could say that NE will win the game but it's stupid to thing with a banged up brady and every thing else that they would win by almost 17 points that's not knowing hot to play the game.

Re: Don's Crystal Ball Week 2 picks
 

Man I got the bad end of the stick on the Was vs NO game but it was a greeeeeeaaat game and Was finally showed the explosivness of the offense we were looking for great game guys I was at the edge of my sit the whole time and you can't ask for more.

Finally we saw Moss of old I haven't seen him play like that in 2 years and Portis maaan what a game.

I was doing ok in most of the morning games but in a few second they went sour. NO was winning with 3 minutes and lost, Min lost a game that they should had won but Ind made them take FG all day they lost that game and Det after losing they came back i nthe fourth and were up by 1 25-24 and then decided to play like the same old Lions.

But still with all that I won 280 bucks in the morning games I was going to take almost 500 if N.O hadn't lost it but great morning. This were my tickets.

Ticket 1 made 175 bucks
NY -9
Buf +4
Ten +1

Ticket 2 made me 68 bucks
NY -9
KC under 36
Ten +1

Ticket 3 made me 37 bucks
NY-9
Car -3 (even)
KC Under

so can't complain

Re: Don's Crystal Ball Week 2 picks
 

I think its awesome that a giants fan and a cowboys fan are fighting on a redskins board...

Re: Don's Crystal Ball Week 2 picks
 

[quote=D'BOYZ;476641]
But still with all that I won 280 bucks in the morning games I was going to take almost 500 if N.O hadn't lost it but great morning. This were my tickets.
[/quote]

What was all that talk about only betting 120 a week? Im letting my one morning game ride on Pitt by 6, which im not feeling good about at all.

Re: Don's Crystal Ball Week 2 picks
 

[quote=mlmpetert;476767]What was all that talk about only betting 120 a week? Im letting my one morning game ride on Pitt by 6, which im not feeling good about at all.[/quote]

peter I bet only 120 per week and I do 3 team parlays like the one's you saw and it pays 6 to 1 if you get it right so I make like 6 bet's of 20 bucks each (not like this but you get the idea) and if I get 1 right of the 6 I make 20 bucks (the 20 they give me back and 120 I won it less but agian an example).

This way I get more chances to make money and if I get 2 tickets right that's were the money is.

Re: Don's Crystal Ball Week 2 picks
 

I told you about that D. J. Taylor was in Brees face all day, And if Horton plays like this all season lookout. I mean they really only gave up 10 pts, 14 if you strech it and thats pretty nice against a high-powered offense, Even without Colston

Re: Don's Crystal Ball Week 2 picks
 

[quote=53Fan;475512]Consider the source.[/quote]

Yep, glad he was wrong. :)

Re: Don's Crystal Ball Week 2 picks
 

[quote=EternalEnigma21;476716]I think its awesome that a giants fan and a cowboys fan are fighting on a redskins board...[/quote]

You Gotta Love It.