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CBA talks have broken down again

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Old 02-28-2006, 11:57 PM   #31
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Re: CBA talks have broken down again

Quote:
Originally Posted by skinsguy
Well, let's not worry about it too much yet. Just remember, we're not the only team that will have to deal with this. We have Gibbs on our side...we have a great coaching staff. That is one thing that won't change this coming season. We might lose some players we would rather keep, but it could be a blessing in disguise...you just never know.
Assuming the extension doesn't get done and our roster blows up, I will be heart broken. However, as you smartly point out, we've got a great coaching staff. I guess it is best to have the cap blow up while Gibbs, Williams, Saunders, and Bugel are here. If anyone can mitigate dramatic losses in talent, it is those guys. While they won't be able to totally mask the deficiencies, they'll do a good job. Good points...
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Old 03-01-2006, 12:01 AM   #32
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Re: CBA talks have broken down again

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Originally Posted by Redskins8588
can someone please explain the 30% rule in common terms? what are the immediate problems that this will bring up for teams, basicly what happens, i am so confused!!!
I believe the 30% rule forbids a player's base salary from increasing by 30% from season to season. So, while teams backload deals, they cannot pay a player the minimum the first 6 years of a deal and put $50 million in the last year. The 30% rule effectively hampers a team's cap "creativity" - thereby forcing teams to release guys they don't want to release.

Anyone else, please correct me if I am wrong (which is quite possible).
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Old 03-01-2006, 12:02 AM   #33
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Re: CBA talks have broken down again

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Originally Posted by Ramseyfan
Assuming the extension doesn't get done and our roster blows up, I will be heart broken. However, as you smartly point out, we've got a great coaching staff. I guess it is best to have the cap blow up while Gibbs, Williams, Saunders, and Bugel are here. If anyone can mitigate dramatic losses in talent, it is those guys. While they won't be able to totally mask the deficiencies, they'll do a good job. Good points...
Gibbs did a lot with guys off the street in a strike year!!!! :headbange
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Old 03-01-2006, 01:33 AM   #34
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Re: CBA talks have broken down again

We all know that Matt Bowen, Walt Harris, John Hall, James Thrash, Tom Tupa, Brandon Noble, and Patrick Ramsey are going to be cap cuts or traded. We can easily recover from those losses. Cutting or trading those guys and a few other guys you’ve never heard of will likely save the team about $12 million. We’ll likely save another few million on restructured deals (i.e. Randy Thomas, LaVar Arrington, and maybe Mark Brunell).

Even after cutting or trading the above-mentioned players and restructuring a few deals, we’ll likely need to shave off another $4-$6 million. Unfortunately, to get the other $4-6 million, we’ll have to lose some big name players.

The big names players who might be cut barring an extension to the CBA are: Jon Jansen (saves $800K), Marcus Washington (saves $500K), Reynaldo Wynn (saves $400K), Casey Rabach (saves $1.1M), Philip Daniels (saves $800K), David Patten (saves $650K), Joe Salave’a (saves $500K), Ladell Betts (saves $550K), Lemar Marshall (saves $400K). Those cuts would save us roughly $6 million.

Who would cut a player of Jansen’s caliber when it would just save us $800K? The answer: a team that has no options and is FORCED by the cap to make such cuts.
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Old 03-01-2006, 03:59 AM   #35
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Re: CBA talks have broken down again

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Originally Posted by Ramseyfan
We all know that Matt Bowen, Walt Harris, John Hall, James Thrash, Tom Tupa, Brandon Noble, and Patrick Ramsey are going to be cap cuts or traded. We can easily recover from those losses. Cutting or trading those guys and a few other guys you’ve never heard of will likely save the team about $12 million. We’ll likely save another few million on restructured deals (i.e. Randy Thomas, LaVar Arrington, and maybe Mark Brunell).

Even after cutting or trading the above-mentioned players and restructuring a few deals, we’ll likely need to shave off another $4-$6 million. Unfortunately, to get the other $4-6 million, we’ll have to lose some big name players.

The big names players who might be cut barring an extension to the CBA are: Jon Jansen (saves $800K), Marcus Washington (saves $500K), Reynaldo Wynn (saves $400K), Casey Rabach (saves $1.1M), Philip Daniels (saves $800K), David Patten (saves $650K), Joe Salave’a (saves $500K), Ladell Betts (saves $550K), Lemar Marshall (saves $400K). Those cuts would save us roughly $6 million.

Who would cut a player of Jansen’s caliber when it would just save us $800K? The answer: a team that has no options and is FORCED by the cap to make such cuts.
Why not cut Burnell and keep Ramsey???? Ramsey has a smaller cap then Burnell right?
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Old 03-01-2006, 04:49 AM   #36
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Re: CBA talks have broken down again

Quote:
Originally Posted by Ramseyfan
Hey Canuck,

If you see this, could you answer the following question? The cap sheets that we have up shows the veterans' cap figures. I understand that veterans' salaries are higher than their cap figures since teams get cap "rebates" if they sign older veterans. Do your cap figures reflect these "rebates?"
its only for guys over 450k a year... if they sign with under a 25k bonus and vet min (which could be up over 800k), they don't count over 450k or so.

we're going to need to use a lot of 310k and 235k players to fill out the roster though, even 450k is too much.
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Old 03-01-2006, 04:52 AM   #37
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Re: CBA talks have broken down again

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Originally Posted by Gmanc711
This was posted on ES, I dont really know how realistic this is, but heres a read....

http://redskins.scout.com/2/501659.html
that plan is complete bullshit. it disregards the 30% rule and assume that nearly 20 players are all going to be perfectly willing to let the skins butcher their contracts and take money from them.
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Old 03-01-2006, 04:55 AM   #38
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Re: CBA talks have broken down again

Quote:
Originally Posted by Ramseyfan
I believe the 30% rule forbids a player's base salary from increasing by 30% from season to season. So, while teams backload deals, they cannot pay a player the minimum the first 6 years of a deal and put $50 million in the last year. The 30% rule effectively hampers a team's cap "creativity" - thereby forcing teams to release guys they don't want to release.

Anyone else, please correct me if I am wrong (which is quite possible).
thats right. if you pay him 4mill this year, you can't pay him more than 5.2mill next year etc. it takes effect this year (since there's no cap next season) to prevent a parade of $1 contracts and the formation of super teams (yankees) right before the cap expires.
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Old 03-01-2006, 04:57 AM   #39
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Re: CBA talks have broken down again

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Originally Posted by RedskinPete
Why not cut Burnell and keep Ramsey???? Ramsey has a smaller cap then Burnell right?
ugh, no. brunell cost 300k more to cut, ramsey saves 1.6mill... all of the questions here were answered in the cap analysis thread guess i'll cut and paste it.
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Old 03-01-2006, 05:15 AM   #40
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Re: CBA talks have broken down again

let's speed this up and avoid another 30 posts that we've already had



  • 30% rule - simple definition, a player's salary cannot increase more than 30% from one year to the next, starting in 2006.

Quote:
Originally Posted by RedskinPete
I see something being said about [potential cuts] but not if a deal is not made! So lets say you are right and the projected cuts are made and some money is redone in player contracts that leaves us a long way from 0 cap short fall. Who do you think would be let go along with the projected cuts? Isn't it right to say that this all needs to be done by march 3rd?


free agency could be pushed back... you can look at the cap sheets to see some examples of savings... but guys like brunell would cost 300k to cut, jacobs (who not only sucks, but is also a huge pansy) only saves 117k to cut (and rookie vet min is 230k, meaning that keeping him is the cheapest way to fill that roster spot).

bowen, harris, noble, ramsey, raymer, hall, tupa (who may still have years left, but is expensive and lost last season to IR), among others... beyond that, wynn would save 396k, thrash would save 875k.

guys that you'd like to keep that could save money (and this is why its a big problem, look how little you save with each starter you cut):
jansen: 800k
samuels: 300k
M washington: 500k
P daniels: 800k
patten: 650k
rabach: 1.15mill
prioleau: 550k
salave'a: 500k
betts: 550k
lemar marshall: 400k
sellers: 500k
dockery: 460k
cooley: 220k

and that's about it... there's some nobodies that can be ditched for much younger nobodies to save 100-200k per roster spot, but making up the difference with the tiny amount of savings made by cutting starters is going to be harsh... you have to cut down even more to have space to sign rookies from the draft, and we're going to need them. Maybe we'll have to have a fire sale for draft picks :/ cause its kinda hard to make 8million pop out of that list up there.


Quote:
Originally Posted by Dirtbag359
So let me get this straight. The reason we want a CBA is because without one we can't restructure deals 3-7 years in the future since their will be no salary cap. And instead of restructuring guys like Jansen, Thomas, Arrington, and Washington we'll have to cut guys like Jansen and Washington to get under the cap. Then we're going to have to carry about 15 rookies on our roster like the Ravens did 2 years removed from the their Super Bowl win.

Also one more question:
Is the reason deals can't be restructured is because its not legal or it would be stupid for the players to do it?


it's legal to restructure contracts, but without a new cba the bonuses can't be pro-rated like normal and you have to obey the 30% rule (which means converting 2 years from base salary to bonus instead of just one... and with limited pro-ration you end up paying a lot of the money you were trying to move down the road immediately anyways).


the skins only have 3 people with base salaries in the 3.5-4mill range right now (jansen, brunell, and thomas), so there's just not much money to move. (the next highest base salary is 1.5mill which is nearly nothing above vet min).


Quote:
Originally Posted by Redskins8588
Someone help me on understanding this one, but if the salary cap is $95 million for 2006, than the Redskins are only over by about $11 million? And if thats the case then we are not really in that bad of shape, like say the jets or oakland, right???



116 - 95 = 21$ mill over... the raiders are over by more, but they're MUCH better off, becaue they can release 2 players and clear 18.5$mill in space, even without a new cba... the skins can't do that cause ALL the contracts here inflate at the same time, so there's no big money guys to drop outside of maybe lavar.



Quote:
Originally Posted by Redskins8588
ok, so what would you say would be our worse case plan if there is no cba agreement, like who do you see us getting rid of, or what other options do we have?



listed this before, but basically, if lavar can be ditched and his bonus withheld, that's the biggest move (5mill i believe).

Lavar - $5mill
Bowen - $2mill
Harris - $2mill
Noble - $1.7mill
Ramsey - $1.6mill
Hall - $1.18mill
Raymer - $985k
Thrash - $875k
Tupa - $601k
Prioleau - $550k

that's about $16mill in somewhat easy cuts...

Frost (P), Brown (WR), Farris (WR), Riley (DE) - 460k each, but would have to be replaced with younger FAs at 235k-310k a pop... at 230k savings each - $920k

5 no names at 385k - 235 = 150k savings each - $750k

up to about 17.7mill, as you can see, its getting harder

only 3 guys on the roster have over 1.5mill in base salary (jansen, thomas, brunell), if you can ask them to each give back (actual give money back, yikes) 500k this year (AND enough money next year to comply with the 30% rule)
jansen - $500k (gives back 500k in 2006 and 0k in 2007)
brunell - $500k (500k in 06 and 650k in 07)
thomas - $500k (500k in 06 and 100k in 07)

up to 19.2mill and we've already had to make huge logic stretches... now it gets really harsh

releasing 16 1st/2nd years and bringing in absolutely NO competition for training camp (10@235k, 6@310k) - $2.35mill + $1.86mill = $4.21mill

23.4mill, just enough to sign rookies and pray no one sucks or gets hurt in training camp

and that's a real stretch, in reality, guys like betts, sellers, and maybe starters like dockery or daniels or patten or wynn all get released too.






Salary cap numbers
hopefully that answers some questions
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Old 03-01-2006, 05:36 AM   #41
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Re: CBA talks have broken down again

edit: if you look above you might notice a (tiny) error: The big cuts don't include roster replacement cost, so this plan leaves 10 free spots (only 43 players left), and including the ramsey trade and no comp picks) only 7 incoming draftees. 2 more undrafteds (koch and quillen) at 235k would still keep them under cap though.

new edit: lavar doesn't save you money with a cba, silly me. that leaves the team with 5million left to cut. I'll try again.
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Old 03-01-2006, 09:26 AM   #42
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Re: CBA talks have broken down again

Quote:
Originally Posted by That Guy
edit: if you look above you might notice a (tiny) error: The big cuts don't include roster replacement cost, so this plan leaves 10 free spots (only 43 players left), and including the ramsey trade and no comp picks) only 7 incoming draftees. 2 more undrafteds (koch and quillen) at 235k would still keep them under cap though.
You can't save any money by cutting Lavar Arrington if no CBA extension is reached.
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Old 03-01-2006, 09:29 AM   #43
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Re: CBA talks have broken down again

That Guy...

I think you posted that Brunell could be cut after June 1 to save 4.5 mil on the cap. If that's correct, and assuming there might be other vets in that category, doesn't that suggest that the shaping of our roster might be a two-phase operation?
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Old 03-01-2006, 09:36 AM   #44
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Re: CBA talks have broken down again

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That Guy...

I think you posted that Brunell could be cut after June 1 to save 4.5 mil on the cap. If that's correct, and assuming there might be other vets in that category, doesn't that suggest that the shaping of our roster might be a two-phase operation?
you can only save money on lavar and brunell with a new cba unfortunately.
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Old 03-01-2006, 09:43 AM   #45
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Re: CBA talks have broken down again

Quote:
Originally Posted by Huddle
That Guy...

I think you posted that Brunell could be cut after June 1 to save 4.5 mil on the cap. If that's correct, and assuming there might be other vets in that category, doesn't that suggest that the shaping of our roster might be a two-phase operation?
Without a CBA extension, 2006 becomes the last capped year. Therefore, cutting a player in 2006 accelerates all of the signing bonus to 2006, regardless of when you cut the player. Even if we cut Brunell, Arrington, or anyone else after June 1, it will not change the cap hit at all.

If you look here, and look at the release fee tab, the situation becomes simple. The 2006 number represents what the player would cost if he stayed on our team. The R Fee number represents what the player would cost if we cut him, no matter when the cut occurs.
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