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Joyner: Cooley underrated

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Old 06-12-2007, 10:37 PM   #1
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Joyner: Cooley underrated

http://insider.espn.go.com/nfl/insid..._kc&id=2901510



This is the first of a series of articles covering the most overrated and underrated players in the NFL. The criteria I used was contrasting the player's 2006 metrics with his perceived performance level.


This week's list features overrated and underrated tight ends.



Overrated tight ends

Jeremy Shockey
Shockey was a Pro Bowl alternate last year, but the metrics indicate he didn't deserve the selection. Shockey ranked 23rd in yards per attempt among qualifying tight ends last year (5.6). He ranked last in medium pass YPA and 18th in short pass YPA.

Shockey is perceived to be an excellent downfield threat when lining up as a wide receiver, but that is also a mirage. He had a 4.7 YPA on passes thrown to him when he was flexed out, a total that placed him next to last in that category.


In a nutshell, Shockey's YPA figures place him more in the company of Randal Williams and Alex Smith, not Jason Witten and Alge Crumpler (the other two NFC Pro Bowl tight ends in 2006).


Randy McMichael
This is the second consecutive year I've identified McMichael as being overrated. His move to St. Louis has revealed that some people still believe he is one of the elite tight ends in the NFL. The metrics say otherwise.
McMichael's overall YPA (6.9) was adequate, ranking him 13th among tight ends last year. Unfortunately, he is a one-trick pony. Of the 92 passes thrown to him last season, 71 were short passes (1-10 yards). The reason McMichael wasn't thrown more vertical passes is his YPA on the 21 combined medium/deep/bomb passes last year was a meager 7.0 yards.
McMichael also had the lowest YPA and success percentage for a tight end when flexed out. He should do a fine job in St. Louis as a check-down target, but he is certainly no longer one of the best tight ends in the NFL.



Underrated tight ends

Chris Cooley
Cooley is already considered by many to be one of the top 10 tight ends in the NFL, but the metrics indicate he deserves even more praise.
Cooley posted the fourth-best overall YPA among tight ends. He had the sixth-best medium pass YPA and the best short pass YPA. His YPA when flexed out (10.8) was easily the highest in the NFL. That he was able to put up these numbers, despite the struggles of the Redskins' quarterbacks last year, speaks volumes about his ability.


Desmond Clark
Last year, Rex Grossman claimed Clark was his go-to receiver, and the metrics show why. He ranked third in YPA, finishing ahead of players such as Cooley and Jason Witten. Clark's numbers were not skewed by a smaller number of attempts:

In addition to his impressive overall numbers, Clark also ranked fourth in both medium and deep pass YPA. If he puts up similar numbers in 2007, he should receive a lot of votes for the Pro Bowl.


KC Joyner, aka The Football Scientist, is a regular contributor to ESPN Insider. His latest release ("Scientific Football 2007") is available for a special preorder price at his Web site.
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Old 06-12-2007, 10:58 PM   #2
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Re: Joyner: Cooley underrated

Finally, someone finally looks at Cooley as one of best TE..
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Old 06-12-2007, 11:16 PM   #3
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Re: Joyner: Cooley underrated

Quote:
Originally Posted by GridIron26 View Post
Finally, someone finally looks at Cooley as one of best TE..
He's our best, that's for sure! I look to pick him up in Fantasy FB.
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Old 06-12-2007, 11:25 PM   #4
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Re: Joyner: Cooley underrated

Well, everyone on this site and all of FedX knows this already but it's nice that CC is getting national attention.
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Old 06-13-2007, 12:17 AM   #5
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Re: Joyner: Cooley underrated

Shhhhhhhhhhhh!

We're trying to extend him. Don't pump up his market value.

Is there anyone who is a Redskins fan who doesn't believe that Cooley is a top 5 TE in the league right now? I can't think of 5 better.

Gonzo
Gates
Heap maybe

I mean there are a lot of guys who could come in and probably do just as well. Miller, Witten, Smith, Clark are all pretty even talent and skill wise compared to Cooley but Cooley fits so well in the system and is used extremely well. He runs good routes, knows how to get open, runs heavyand hard, catches almost anything thrown his way, it goes on and on. In short just does everything he is supposed to do very well. He doesn't have the athleticism of Gates or Gonzo but after those guys he is as good as anyone in the league.
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Old 06-13-2007, 12:45 AM   #6
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Re: Joyner: Cooley underrated

Quote:
Originally Posted by FRPLG View Post
Is there anyone who is a Redskins fan who doesn't believe that Cooley is a top 5 TE in the league right now? I can't think of 5 better.

Gonzo
Gates
Heap maybe

Cooley fits so well in the system and is used extremely well. He runs good routes, knows how to get open, runs heavyand hard, catches almost anything thrown his way, it goes on and on. In short just does everything he is supposed to do very well. He doesn't have the athleticism of Gates or Gonzo but after those guys he is as good as anyone in the league.
Exactly, Cooley is top 5 for sure. They are right he is underrated on the national scheme. Easily should be in the probowl, IMO. Who is a better TE in the NFC beside him and Shockey? I think all Skins fans know how good he is. I am glad people can see that. He really should be in the Probowl next year.
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Old 06-13-2007, 01:08 AM   #7
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Re: Joyner: Cooley underrated

Love Cooley...I wish the Skins would use him more. Hopefully Saunders got his shit together and uses him like he used Tony Gonzalez.
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Old 06-13-2007, 01:16 AM   #8
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Re: Joyner: Cooley underrated

Actually hooskins made me to think of one question.. How come Cooley has never been to probowl??
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Old 06-13-2007, 01:22 AM   #9
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Re: Joyner: Cooley underrated

Quote:
Originally Posted by GridIron26 View Post
Actually hooskins made me to think of one question.. How come Cooley has never been to probowl??
Because he doesn't play in NY?
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Old 06-13-2007, 01:26 AM   #10
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Re: Joyner: Cooley underrated

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Because he doesn't play in NY?
Lol what does NY have to do with probowl?
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Old 06-13-2007, 01:43 AM   #11
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Re: Joyner: Cooley underrated

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Originally Posted by GridIron26 View Post
Actually hooskins made me to think of one question.. How come Cooley has never been to probowl??
Anti-mormon bias.
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Old 06-13-2007, 03:28 AM   #12
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Re: Joyner: Cooley underrated

Quote:
Originally Posted by GridIron26 View Post
Actually hooskins made me to think of one question.. How come Cooley has never been to probowl??
He'd have easily made it two years ago, but was classed as a FB and i think Mack Strong got in front of him, which is fair enough for the FB position.

But last year he was listed as a TE and just got overlooked...Crumpler got in ahead of him, which i think was ok given he had slightly better stats (think he had more TD's and Yards). But Cooley should have been selected as the number 2 TE. I think even Shockey who went, was originally the alterante? If thats right, who was the other TE originally selected? Witten?
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Old 06-13-2007, 06:23 AM   #13
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Re: Joyner: Cooley underrated

ok. we have established cooley as one of the leagues best. exactly what is that worth? i do not want to break the bank for him. yes, i want him here, but not at all costs
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Old 06-13-2007, 06:42 AM   #14
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Re: Joyner: Cooley underrated

I'm glad he's finally seen as underrated by others including sports writers. Because he is. This guy is becoming the face of this organization.

Also, one of the VERY BEST at his position.

Hope they are smart enough to get the deal done with Capt. Chaos at TOP tier money AS HE DESERVES! Take care of your own first....that are getting it done!
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Old 06-13-2007, 08:48 AM   #15
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Re: Joyner: Cooley underrated

his agent is gonna ask for a 12-15 mil signing bonus at least. If the market is like this year's he could really cash in.
Hopefully he'll stay here for less, but we'll probably have to give him at least 13 mil in bonus $.
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