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jsarno's top 5 picks week 3.

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Old 09-20-2008, 07:45 PM   #1
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jsarno's top 5 picks week 3.

dboyz got me thinking I should post my picks weekly in hopes that I could earn some fellow skins fans some money. Thus far on the season I am 8-2. (went 3-2 week 1, and 5-0 last week, for an earnings of $250 thus far at $50 a game) I only pick 5 games every week, no more, no less.
ps- I only bet the spread, never the over / under, and I ALWAYS stay away from the Skins cause heart will never win you money!

Here are my picks, hope they help.

1- Oakland +9.5. I am not on the Buffalo bandwagon. I know they are "good", but they are not 9.5 points good. Oakland is young and will make this game close.

2- Miami +12.5 The patriots will win this game, but the Fins have almost always played the pats close with the exception of last year when the pats beat the piss out of everyone. In 06, 05 and 04, the dolphins split the series with the pats...worst loss was only 14 points. The way the pats are playing, I just don't think 12.5 is enough the take the pats.

3- Carolina +3 Gus Frerotte is taking over for Jackson, but I don't think that's enough to get that offense off the ground...also Adrian Peterson has a hurting hammy. On the other side, Carolina has Steve Smith back this week, and they seem to be doing all things right to win. I'll take carolina straight up, but if the bookies want to give me 3, I'll gladly take it!

4- Tennessee -4.5 Houston is still rusty from the preseason, and has a revolving door at RB and soon to be QB. The extra week off due to the hurricane will hurt houston, not help. Meanwhile, the Titans look like a much better team with Collins at the helm. I see at least a 7 point win for Tennessee.

5- Indianapolis -4.5 You can only keep a great team down so long. Indy is a great team, with a potent offense that has yet to take flight. I am not saying they are going to put up 45 points this week, but they will win by a td. It seemed that at the end of the game last week, they shook off the funk they were in to pull out the win. Jacksonville is hurting waaay too much with the loss of their two starting guards, and Garrard lost what made him great last year.

I'll try to keep up with this every week. Hope my picks help. Feel free to disagree.
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Old 09-20-2008, 08:19 PM   #2
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Re: jsarno's top 5 picks week 3.

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Originally Posted by jsarno View Post
dboyz got me thinking I should post my picks weekly in hopes that I could earn some fellow skins fans some money. Thus far on the season I am 8-2. (went 3-2 week 1, and 5-0 last week, for an earnings of $250 thus far at $50 a game) I only pick 5 games every week, no more, no less.
ps- I only bet the spread, never the over / under, and I ALWAYS stay away from the Skins cause heart will never win you money!

Here are my picks, hope they help.

1- Oakland +9.5. I am not on the Buffalo bandwagon. I know they are "good", but they are not 9.5 points good. Oakland is young and will make this game close.

2- Miami +12.5 The patriots will win this game, but the Fins have almost always played the pats close with the exception of last year when the pats beat the piss out of everyone. In 06, 05 and 04, the dolphins split the series with the pats...worst loss was only 14 points. The way the pats are playing, I just don't think 12.5 is enough the take the pats.

3- Carolina +3 Gus Frerotte is taking over for Jackson, but I don't think that's enough to get that offense off the ground...also Adrian Peterson has a hurting hammy. On the other side, Carolina has Steve Smith back this week, and they seem to be doing all things right to win. I'll take carolina straight up, but if the bookies want to give me 3, I'll gladly take it!

4- Tennessee -4.5 Houston is still rusty from the preseason, and has a revolving door at RB and soon to be QB. The extra week off due to the hurricane will hurt houston, not help. Meanwhile, the Titans look like a much better team with Collins at the helm. I see at least a 7 point win for Tennessee.

5- Indianapolis -4.5 You can only keep a great team down so long. Indy is a great team, with a potent offense that has yet to take flight. I am not saying they are going to put up 45 points this week, but they will win by a td. It seemed that at the end of the game last week, they shook off the funk they were in to pull out the win. Jacksonville is hurting waaay too much with the loss of their two starting guards, and Garrard lost what made him great last year.

I'll try to keep up with this every week. Hope my picks help. Feel free to disagree.
I love Tenn. I'm loading up on this one.

Indy has it's own injury issues but I sort of leaning with them too. They get back Saturday and Clark.

Car. has been barely getting by. I would not bet on them to save my life.

Oak has to travel cross country and that always a tough thing to do. Especially with a young Qb with no offense to speak of and a coach that's about to get fired. I'm going to lay the 9. Buff is for real. Solid o-line, good running game and they have a nice defense. Plus Buff is a tough place to play.

I know 12.5 is a lot w/ out Brady but no way do I have to balls to take Miami.
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Old 09-20-2008, 09:35 PM   #3
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Re: jsarno's top 5 picks week 3.

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Originally Posted by jsarno View Post
dboyz got me thinking I should post my picks weekly in hopes that I could earn some fellow skins fans some money. Thus far on the season I am 8-2. (went 3-2 week 1, and 5-0 last week, for an earnings of $250 thus far at $50 a game) I only pick 5 games every week, no more, no less.
ps- I only bet the spread, never the over / under, and I ALWAYS stay away from the Skins cause heart will never win you money!

Here are my picks, hope they help.

1- Oakland +9.5. I am not on the Buffalo bandwagon. I know they are "good", but they are not 9.5 points good. Oakland is young and will make this game close.

2- Miami +12.5 The patriots will win this game, but the Fins have almost always played the pats close with the exception of last year when the pats beat the piss out of everyone. In 06, 05 and 04, the dolphins split the series with the pats...worst loss was only 14 points. The way the pats are playing, I just don't think 12.5 is enough the take the pats.

3- Carolina +3 Gus Frerotte is taking over for Jackson, but I don't think that's enough to get that offense off the ground...also Adrian Peterson has a hurting hammy. On the other side, Carolina has Steve Smith back this week, and they seem to be doing all things right to win. I'll take carolina straight up, but if the bookies want to give me 3, I'll gladly take it!

4- Tennessee -4.5 Houston is still rusty from the preseason, and has a revolving door at RB and soon to be QB. The extra week off due to the hurricane will hurt houston, not help. Meanwhile, the Titans look like a much better team with Collins at the helm. I see at least a 7 point win for Tennessee.

5- Indianapolis -4.5 You can only keep a great team down so long. Indy is a great team, with a potent offense that has yet to take flight. I am not saying they are going to put up 45 points this week, but they will win by a td. It seemed that at the end of the game last week, they shook off the funk they were in to pull out the win. Jacksonville is hurting waaay too much with the loss of their two starting guards, and Garrard lost what made him great last year.

I'll try to keep up with this every week. Hope my picks help. Feel free to disagree.
I agree with all of your picks except Oakland. Sure they looked good against the worst team in the AFC (KC) last week, but what made them look good? Rushing. McFadden hasn't practiced all week with a toe injury and Fargas' groin is gonna keep him out for a while. Not to mention Buffalo is good against the run and is playing at home. Buffalo's offense has looked good running and passing so far against two teams that were in the playoffs last year. Oakland will be lucky to score 10 points in this game, and I think for fantasy purposes the Bills defense is the start of the week.

On a side note I agree that Indy will cover the spread, but I don't agree with what you're getting at in regard to David Garrard. Yeah, he has lost what made him great last year- a healthy offensive line that created a monster running game, in turn opening up the pass. I don't think his skills fell off the map in an 8 or 9 month span.
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Old 09-21-2008, 12:42 AM   #4
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Smile Re: jsarno's top 5 picks week 3.

I love the carolina pick. (already put 100 on it). Hate the Indy pick, I think Jax is due and Indy is on the outs. P.S. da Skins bet is going to pay. There's my two cents, do what you want with it. Good luck!
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Old 09-21-2008, 01:43 AM   #5
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Re: jsarno's top 5 picks week 3.

Week 3 Picks

jsarno vs The Don (DBOYZ)
Oakland...........Buffalo
Miami..............Miami
Carolina...........Carolina
Tennessee.......Tennessee
Indianapolis......Jacksonville


Let's see how we do tomorrow hahah I'm just having fun with it




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Old 09-21-2008, 01:21 PM   #6
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Re: jsarno's top 5 picks week 3.

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Week 3 Picks

jsarno vs The Don (DBOYZ)
Oakland...........Buffalo
Miami..............Miami
Carolina...........Carolina
Tennessee.......Tennessee
Indianapolis......Jacksonville


Let's see how we do tomorrow hahah I'm just having fun with it




Jsarno

Sounds good to me. I like fun rivalries!
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Old 09-21-2008, 02:29 PM   #7
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Re: jsarno's top 5 picks week 3.

fucking buffalo
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Old 09-21-2008, 03:31 PM   #8
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Re: jsarno's top 5 picks week 3.

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fucking buffalo
No kidding. Boy was I wrong there.
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Old 09-21-2008, 03:44 PM   #9
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Re: jsarno's top 5 picks week 3.

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No kidding. Boy was I wrong there.
at this point, I am right about everything except Minnesota...but if Carolina scores, I won't be.
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Old 09-21-2008, 03:46 PM   #10
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Re: jsarno's top 5 picks week 3.

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at this point, I am right about everything except Minnesota...but if Carolina scores, I won't be.
I actually didn't get my bet in on time so I've got nothing going for the 1 o'clock games.
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Old 09-21-2008, 04:05 PM   #11
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Re: jsarno's top 5 picks week 3.

Looks like you're going to make some money on that Mia-Pats game.

Never would've thought the Fins would spank the Pats like that.
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Old 09-21-2008, 04:12 PM   #12
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Re: jsarno's top 5 picks week 3.

I won the Oakland game +50
I won the Miami game +50
I won the Tennessee game +50
I lost the Carolina game -50

Up $100 going into the Indy game...at worst, I won $50 at this point.

(This puts me at 11-3 so far on the season)
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Old 09-21-2008, 04:14 PM   #13
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Re: jsarno's top 5 picks week 3.

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I actually didn't get my bet in on time so I've got nothing going for the 1 o'clock games.
what do you have for hte 2nd round of games?
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Old 09-21-2008, 04:16 PM   #14
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Re: jsarno's top 5 picks week 3.

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Week 3 Picks

jsarno vs The Don (DBOYZ)
Oakland...........Buffalo
Miami..............Miami
Carolina...........Carolina
Tennessee.......Tennessee
Indianapolis......Jacksonville


Let's see how we do tomorrow hahah I'm just having fun with it




Jsarno
So far, I'm up by one over you with the Indy game being the difference left.
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Old 09-21-2008, 04:42 PM   #15
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Re: jsarno's top 5 picks week 3.

jsarno great picks, please continue to do this each week if you have time. If you picked a particular day to put out your picks, so everyone would know to look then, that would be awesome.
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