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Don's Crystal Ball Week 3 Picks

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Old 09-25-2009, 07:38 PM   #1
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Don's Crystal Ball Week 3 Picks

THE DON'S

Crystal Ball

2009 SEASON

WEEK 3 PICKS

By DonCanabis/D'BOYZ

Analyst/Godfather


Well as I told you guys Week 2 and Week 3 are the head scratchers bad teams look great and mess thing up because their season is almost on the line, Yeah we can all say thatís too early to say that but stats donít lie and prepare for the worst week of the Season because no team wants to be 0-3 because your chances to reach the playoffs are practically zero. It has been 11 years since the last time a 0-3 team reached the Playoffs, so for some teams this week is almost their season.
Ok some Quick Hits from last week.

ēMiami has screwed me over twice, they showed a great running offense with the wildcat at full motion and the defense held Peyton for most of the night but at the end the play calling was way too conservative (running in 3rd and 6), and that was one of the worst hurry up offense Iíve seen in years. What Miami showed itís they have zero confidence in Chad and will only let him do dump offs
ēDallas has the weapons but still doesnít have the championship team mentality. Teams that aspire for great things can have bad games or tough games but at the end find ways to win. Dallas dropped the ball in the final drive and it has showed me that they still donít get it.
ēThe total opposite from Baltimore who right now looks pretty good as my SB champions prediction when the game was on the line they stopped SD.
ēInjuries in 3 teams freak me out Philadelphia, San Diego and New England. They are just piling up bodies. It doesnít look like they will have enough ammo for the end.
ēItís amazing how quickly some of last year stars are becoming a no show this year, Slaton, Forte. But itís good some are getting their career back Benson, Shockey who had them in their fantasy team anyone.
ēIt looks like I pissed somebody off because luck itís not going my way with my overall predictions. 4 games this week Pit, Ten, Dal and Mia turn back on me in the last quarter or drive I just canít catch a break. Still I broke even this week.
ēSome interesting facts, Was has scored 0 TD in 2 weeks, NYG is 0-6 in TDís in the redzone and Dallas has 0 sacks and 0 turnovers.
On to the games

Kansas City at Philadelphia -9 .5 Ovr/Und 42
Well it looks like McNabb itís out again, this game itís important for both team; KC doesnít want to be 0-3 and see their division slipped away and Kolb with Vick and Garcia breathing on his neck not only is playing for the backup position but for his future spot on this team. Now the line is way too big for this game take the home team Kolb didnít play bad against NO the game just got way too big but take the spread both teams will fight for this game.

Straight: Phi
Spread: KC
Ovr/Und: Ovr

Cleveland at Baltimore -13.5 Ovr/Und 39
There have been two weird things in Baltimore this past 2 week theyíve scored a lot of points and theyíve been scored a lot to, a thing I donít like. Cleveland has lost their first two matches by at least 14 points, there are a lot of problems in Cle fights and Lewis wonít play. I donít like taking lines this big because one mistake can really screw your prediction an I donít really know if Baltimore can keep up scoring this much for 3 weeks but Cleveland hasnít show me any offense the first 2 week.

Straight: Bal
Spread: Bal
Ovr/Und: Ovr

New York Giants at Tampa Bay6.5 Ovr/Und 44
New York defense is hurt; they are missing guys in their front seven and secondary also, the giants havenít been able to put the ball in once they reach the endzone. Finally Manning connected with some of his WR and the unit looks better. Tampa Bay has a really bad secondary and huge questions on offense if. Leftwich can exploit their secondary and Cadillac runís between that hurt Defensive line we could see and upset but right now I donít buy it.

Straight: NYG
Spread: NYG
Ovr/Und: Ovr

Atlanta at New England -4 Ovr/Und 45
I have to say Atlanta has surprised me, especially Tony Gonzalez man he might be 60 but he still plays like heís 22. It looks like Belichick ego has finally gone over his head and he has bought the mastermind mentality. This is why I didnít picked NE like almost half the country to be in the SB. Questions about Bradyís Knee, Young Defense, Belichick doing all DC, OC and GM. For me it has been too much for him to handle and itís going to cost them this year. Atlanta doesnít play great on the road so thatís why Iím taking NE at least this week.

Straight: NE
Spread: NE
Ovr/Und: Und

Tennessee at New York Jets -2.5 Ovr/Und 37
A team that shouldnít be 0-2 itís playing a team that has proved they should be 0-2.Mark Sanchez has played almost mistake free football and what Rex Ryan has done to that defense and overall the mentality of that team itís amazing. But, the titans are playing for everything so I expect Mark to have his first rookie showing in the NFL.

Straight: TEN
Spread: TEN
Ovr/Und: OVR

Green Bay at St. Louis 6.5 Ovr/Und 41
Where is the Oline in Green Bay, Aaron Rodgers is getting killed out there, this game is just what the packers needed a game to regroup. Itís St Louis the new Lions?

Straight: GB
Spread: GB
Ovr/Und: Und

San Francisco at Minnesota -7 Ovr/Und 40.5
Like I said last week I didnít gave too much respect to SF, and everyone is with Minnesota but they have played two really bad teams and have started late both teams have great running games and both teams have great defense against the run so this is the first week Favre is really going to be tested. I smell an upset here or at least a really close hard fought match

Straight:Min
Spread:SF
Ovr/Und:Und

Jacksonville at Houston 4 Ovr/Und 46.5
Well it took 1 week to the offense to show up for Houston and on the road that was great, the Texans usually play great at home and Jacksonville is up for a long, long season.

Straight: Hou
Spread: Hou
Ovr/Und: Und

Washington at Detroit 6.5 Ovr/Und 38.5
UPSET OF THE WEEK
If thereís a week Detroit can end with their bad luck is this week. Detroit has been bad but at least they have moved the ball and scored. Washington is a mess right now and Portis is hurt. Lionís fans this will be a week to leave the face bags at home.
Straight: Det
Spread: Det
Ovr/Und: Ovr

Chicago at Seattle 2 Ovr/Und 37
We have known how Seattle plays without Hasselbeck so Iím really surprised about how low this line actually is. If itís still like this by the time you go and place your bet take it without hesitation.

Straight: Chi
Spread: Chi
Ovr/Und: Ovr

New Orleans at Buffalo 6 Ovr/Und 53
I really like how both teams are playing, buffalo has surprised me a little specially the oline which suffer a lot of changes. How long can NO keep putting big numbers and can the Saints defense stop the big play ability of the bills? I donít expect Brees having 3 huge weeks in a row.

Straight: NO
Spread: BUF
Ovr/Und: Und

Miami at San Diego -6 Ovr/Und 44
San Diego itís really hurt on both sides of the ball, but I canít trust Miami 3 weeks in a row the Chargers played well against Baltimore despite these injuries so I expect a good game from them.

Straight: SD
Spread: MIA
Ovr/Und: OVR

Denver at Oakland : -1 Ovr/Und 36
Well it looks like Iím going to lose a bet against some Broncos fans because it sure looks their team itís going to start 3-0. If only the raiders had somebody else at QB.

Straight:Den
Spread: Den
Ovr/Und: Ovr

Pittsburgh at Cincinnati : 4 Ovr/Und 37
Both teams made me look bad last week Pit by playing bad and Cin by actually playing good. Iíve said it many times that pit Oline is going to be the downfall of this team. Expect a comeback from the champs no way they fall 1-2

Straight:Pit
Spread:Pit
Ovr/Und: Ovr

Indianapolis at Arizona : -1.5 Ovr/Und 48
I donít like this game one bit both teams havenít convince me yet. Indianapolis hasnít looked good in both their first two games, so what do I take for this game. Well, Ind barely beat Jacksonville; Arizona destroyed them, and theyíre playing at home, take the home.

Straight:Ari
Spread: Ari
Ovr/Und:Ovr

Carolina at Dallas : -9 Ovr/Und 46
Both teams really need this win, Dallas has shown flashes but their Defense hasnít shown much. Carolina is fighting for their life and a QB for his future, I expect the home team to bring a W at home but the 9 points line is way too big for such an important match. (Take the Over)

Straight: Dal
Spread: Car
Ovr/Und: Ovr



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Old 09-25-2009, 07:39 PM   #2
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Re: Don's Crystal Ball Week 3 Picks

I expect the hate posts in 5....4....3....2....
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Old 09-25-2009, 07:41 PM   #3
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Re: Don's Crystal Ball Week 3 Picks

If you're in the business of making money, isn't Carolina over Dallas a stronger upset?
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Old 09-25-2009, 08:00 PM   #4
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Re: Don's Crystal Ball Week 3 Picks

For me gtripp an upset it's a game where I believe an Underdog will win a game not only cover the spread. The Upset of the week it's the biggest surprise of all the upsets
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Old 09-25-2009, 08:27 PM   #5
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Re: Don's Crystal Ball Week 3 Picks

Everyone saying the skins will lose to Detroit. So its wont necessarily be a surprise.
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Old 09-25-2009, 09:04 PM   #6
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Re: Don's Crystal Ball Week 3 Picks

Lol!!!!!

BTW, I think your picks suck fucking ass.
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Old 09-25-2009, 09:17 PM   #7
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Re: Don's Crystal Ball Week 3 Picks

Detroit beating Washington will be called an upset, Washington beating Detroit will be considered another team beating on a hapless team.

The way Washington has been playing I don't know why it would be called an upset. It reminds me when the Terps beat Miami when they weren't all that.
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Old 09-25-2009, 10:31 PM   #8
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Re: Don's Crystal Ball Week 3 Picks

im starting to wonder about you. every week you pick the cowboys. and every week you pick the skins to lose...
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Old 09-25-2009, 10:45 PM   #9
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Re: Don's Crystal Ball Week 3 Picks

Quote:
Originally Posted by D'BOYZ View Post
I expect the hate posts in 5....4....3....2....
Seriously...why does this thread have to disgrace our board every week? Did Matty2K lose a bet or something with this guy?
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Old 09-25-2009, 11:04 PM   #10
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Re: Don's Crystal Ball Week 3 Picks

ēSome interesting facts, Was has scored 0 TD in 2 weeks, NYG is 0-6 in TDís in the redzone and Dallas has 0 sacks and 0 turnovers.
On to the games

considering that the week one score was 23-17 and the skins had 1 fg. that tells me two tds were scored in week 1.....

NYG is 0-6 in TDís in the redzone- You [B]are[B]a bone head.

seriously don canabis.....put the bong down and take your weak stuff somewhere else
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Old 09-26-2009, 12:09 AM   #11
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Re: Don's Crystal Ball Week 3 Picks

Quote:
Originally Posted by dmek25 View Post
im starting to wonder about you. every week you pick the cowboys. and every week you pick the skins to lose...

Dmek check my past columns before you post. Week 1 I said you would lose to the Giants and you did... Week 2 I said you would beat Stl but not cover the line and you did.

Right now Week one I've said you've lose week 2 i said you would win
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Old 09-26-2009, 12:16 AM   #12
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Re: Don's Crystal Ball Week 3 Picks

I'll say the skins score more TDs than the cowgirls get sacks.

and you are wrong, skins did score TDs.
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Old 09-26-2009, 01:41 AM   #13
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Re: Don's Crystal Ball Week 3 Picks

Its just his opinion and opinions are like assholes everyone has one and they all stink. That being said the skins are favored by 6.5 and the cowboys are favored by 8.5. I definitely agree that IF both upsets happen the 'boys losing would be the bigger upset.
Statistically wise Romo usually rebounds from a crappy game the next week as well as JCampbells stats against the Lions the past 2 years:
Jason Campbell vs. Lions Secondary
Something about the Detroit Lions seems to bring out the best in Campbell.
In a 2007 game, Campbell completed 23-of-29 passes for 248 yards, two touchdowns and a 125.3 QB rating. Last year, he completed 23-of-28 passes for 328 yards, one touchdown and a career-high 127.4 QB rating.
Statistically, Campbell has gotten off to solid start this season, completing 68.9 percent of his passes for 453 yards, one touchdown and one interception. The offense is ranked 18th in the league in passing yards.
In the red zone, a problem area for the offense so far this season, Campbell has completed 4-of-8 passes for 29 yards, with one touchdown and one sack.
Detroitís secondary, led by veteran cornerbacks Phillip Buchanan and Anthony Henry, is ranked 25th in the league in passing defense. They are both in their first seasons with the Lions.


Enough is enough. The Rams are a professional football team and they played well. The Giants are one of the best teams in the league and we played them well. The Lions are also in the league and despite having a 19 game losing streak WILL NOT find a way to beat the skins this weekend. Im tired of hearing about how the Lions will win on sportstalk radio and the other random media that I listen to. The better team wins the majority of the time. I just dont see how the Lions can match up man for man against the Skins and win.
Total Offense YPG:
Skins: 19th
Lions: 30th
Total Defense YPG:
Skins: 10th
Lions: 27th
Further the Skins offense is (passing ypg):
18th
and the Lions passing defense is:
24th
Skins passing defense is ranked:
10th
Lions passing offense:
26th
I wont bore you with more stats but they all show that the Skins SHOULD (and will) win on Sunday.
I think that the Skins are very hungry to quiet the booing fans and the media. I truely do not see the Lions including a rookie qb in Stafford punishing the Skins. I feel that JCs experience and the handful of weapons more than the Lions have will dictate a W for DC. Stop bitching everyone, we were supposed to beat the Rams and lose the the Giants. Skins are 1-1. With a win they are still right in the thick of the east. Again this is my opinion but I just don't see how the Lions will beat the SKins.
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Old 09-26-2009, 02:02 AM   #14
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Re: Don's Crystal Ball Week 3 Picks

EXACTLY how I feel Warpath! You laid it out very well. Good Post!
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Old 09-26-2009, 04:02 AM   #15
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Re: Don's Crystal Ball Week 3 Picks

Quote:
Originally Posted by Warpath View Post
Its just his opinion and opinions are like assholes everyone has one and they all stink. That being said the skins are favored by 6.5 and the cowboys are favored by 8.5. I definitely agree that IF both upsets happen the 'boys losing would be the bigger upset.
Statistically wise Romo usually rebounds from a crappy game the next week as well as JCampbells stats against the Lions the past 2 years:
Jason Campbell vs. Lions Secondary
Something about the Detroit Lions seems to bring out the best in Campbell.
In a 2007 game, Campbell completed 23-of-29 passes for 248 yards, two touchdowns and a 125.3 QB rating. Last year, he completed 23-of-28 passes for 328 yards, one touchdown and a career-high 127.4 QB rating.
Statistically, Campbell has gotten off to solid start this season, completing 68.9 percent of his passes for 453 yards, one touchdown and one interception. The offense is ranked 18th in the league in passing yards.
In the red zone, a problem area for the offense so far this season, Campbell has completed 4-of-8 passes for 29 yards, with one touchdown and one sack.
Detroitís secondary, led by veteran cornerbacks Phillip Buchanan and Anthony Henry, is ranked 25th in the league in passing defense. They are both in their first seasons with the Lions.


Enough is enough. The Rams are a professional football team and they played well. The Giants are one of the best teams in the league and we played them well. The Lions are also in the league and despite having a 19 game losing streak WILL NOT find a way to beat the skins this weekend. Im tired of hearing about how the Lions will win on sportstalk radio and the other random media that I listen to. The better team wins the majority of the time. I just dont see how the Lions can match up man for man against the Skins and win.
Total Offense YPG:
Skins: 19th
Lions: 30th
Total Defense YPG:
Skins: 10th
Lions: 27th
Further the Skins offense is (passing ypg):
18th
and the Lions passing defense is:
24th
Skins passing defense is ranked:
10th
Lions passing offense:
26th
I wont bore you with more stats but they all show that the Skins SHOULD (and will) win on Sunday.
I think that the Skins are very hungry to quiet the booing fans and the media. I truely do not see the Lions including a rookie qb in Stafford punishing the Skins. I feel that JCs experience and the handful of weapons more than the Lions have will dictate a W for DC. Stop bitching everyone, we were supposed to beat the Rams and lose the the Giants. Skins are 1-1. With a win they are still right in the thick of the east. Again this is my opinion but I just don't see how the Lions will beat the SKins.
Ditto.

I'm tired of all this negativity. I'll bet 99% of all you haters predicted the Skins to beat the rams and lose one to the Giants. Guess what...that's what happened. Let's stop all the overreacting, if it weren't for a few missed opportunities with turnovers and dropped TD passes, they would have put 20+ points on the board, and everyone on here would be saying..."wow, here comes the offense, did you see how they moved the ball...Geez Zorn's offensive scheme really does work!"
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