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Old 07-10-2013, 07:54 PM   #30
SmootSmack
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Join Date: Feb 2004
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Re: Predict Your 2013 Redskins Record (pre-training camp edition)

Quote:
Originally Posted by CRedskinsRule View Post
Defend the bolded statement.

We went 5-1 in division last year, and I don't think any of the other teams improved markedly. I would say all 3 likely are the same or worse than last year.

In addition we play the AFC East, sorry two of those teams are wins, not saying which two, just that we will split. So if we go 3-3 in division, and 2-2 in AFC (both low in my mind), then we need 3 wins against the north, and Seattle, Atlanta to go 8-8. No way that probability of going 8-8 or worse is 40-45%.
I think he just means the probability of finishing anywhere between 0-16 and 8-8 is higher than say just 11-5. I'm no math major, but I think that's what he's saying
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