im convinced one day a coach will follow analytics and go for 2 every single time. And be right. Im surprised Belicheck hasnt figured out 3 plays that are guaranteed 2 yards at the goal line.
Going by baltimore's stats
after 2 touchdowns:
kick 2 extra points = 88.36% chance of coming away with 2 pts
go for 2 twice = 100% chance of 2 pts (Im not 100% certain this is right ..)
[(94/100)*(94/100) = .8836]
----------------
adding to it ... that doesnt even take into account you have the chance at 4 pts max (25% chance) vs 2 pts max (88.36% chance)
----------------------
Ho Le Chit ... figuring out the chance of getting heads on 2 coin flips is complicated as hell. Apparently my math is wrong as going for 2 two times in a row would be "independent" and not "mutually exclusive" events ..
https://math.stackexchange.com/quest...pped-two-times
Schneed ... where are you? lol
edit -- chance of converting at least once on 2 two point tries = 75% not 100%
∴P(H1∪H2)=1/2+1/2−1/2×1/2=3/4
chance of converting twice on extra point kicks = i have no freaking clue
im sorry for this drivle guys ..