Commanders Post at The Warpath - View Single Post - Can any Secondary slow the skins down? Hell NO.

mike340 · 07-13-2006, 09:48 PM

As far as their reliability covering the spread:

Back in '82-'83 they were very good at covering the spread until they were "discovered" when they trounced the Rams on a Monday night. I remember at one point a newspaper reported they were 20-4-1 against the spread in their last 25 games. I then analyzed it and found they were 14-1-1 against the teams which weren't upper-echelon. So I used this info to bet on them (legally). They ended up making me about half a year's salary (net). Before the Monday-night win they were never more than 10-point favorites, but afterwards they were frequently favored by more than 10 points. In the one game I lost, they were 14.5-point favorites against the Eagles and ahead by 14 (28-14) at halftime, but didn't score another point (28-24 final.) Their games were just as frequently on the high side of the over-under, although I was too dense to use that to my advantage. (This was the year when they set the points record.)

So, to summarize, they were very good at covering the spread when it was no more than 10 points.

07-13-2006, 09:48 PM	#5
mike340 Special Teams Join Date: Jun 2006 Age: 68 Posts: 322	Re: Can any Secondary slow the skins down? Hell NO. As far as their reliability covering the spread: Back in '82-'83 they were very good at covering the spread until they were "discovered" when they trounced the Rams on a Monday night. I remember at one point a newspaper reported they were 20-4-1 against the spread in their last 25 games. I then analyzed it and found they were 14-1-1 against the teams which weren't upper-echelon. So I used this info to bet on them (legally). They ended up making me about half a year's salary (net). Before the Monday-night win they were never more than 10-point favorites, but afterwards they were frequently favored by more than 10 points. In the one game I lost, they were 14.5-point favorites against the Eagles and ahead by 14 (28-14) at halftime, but didn't score another point (28-24 final.) Their games were just as frequently on the high side of the over-under, although I was too dense to use that to my advantage. (This was the year when they set the points record.) So, to summarize, they were very good at covering the spread when it was no more than 10 points.