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Originally Posted by That Guy
1200-1400 yards/season consistently is nothing special?
when exactly did KC or SD win their last SB? lack of a true grade-A #1 WR has definately hurt their offenses, though both have monster TEs to help.
what about the certain super bowl with 3 1,000 yard WRs? what about the colt's 3 target passing attack? It certainly didn't hurt them.
DE bust rate is about 50%, it's really not any better than QBs or WRs. I mean, if you want we can throw straw men around all day about why drafting any position other than offensive guard in the first round is likely to be a bust, but that'd be fairly pointless (and yeah, OGs and Cs bust rate are SUPER SUPER low cause very very few go in the 1st round, and those that do go that high are rate VERY highly, like hutch).
I do agree that DEs are always higher priority at equal talent, and even for us it'd probably be a better pick, since our need is dire. That doesn't mean CJ wouldn't help, that he's not the best WR prospect in quite a few years, or that we don't have a gaping hole at the #2 WR spot.
a true #1 WR beats an overpaid LB or a high contract SS, etc though. While signing ian scott and drafting adams or carriker would be much smarter in terms or winning games next year, this deal would beat the briggs or landry rumors in terms of usefulness.
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Both Briggs and Landry are defensive players, so I'd have to assume they'd bring more help than CJ. Still, the correct move is to go DT or at the very least DE.
Every year, 31 teams do not win the super bowl. That doesn't mean Kansas City and San Diego did not create cream of the crop offenses over the past few years without paying too much attention to WRs. The Patriots and Eagles don't overvalue WRs either and their track record is even more successful than KC or SD overall, just not on the offensive end.
Again, the Colts did not invest top 10 picks into highly hyped wide receivers. They obviously value the position, but when they got those top picks, they made selections like Edgerrin James, Peyton Manning, and Dwight Freeney (who was the 11th pick in 2002 I think).
Bust rate...it happens. When you aren't talking about QBs, drafting the right guy is at least somewhat a function of luck. But you can always increase your chances of drafting quality players by focusing on the guys with the most college experience. Once a guy hits the NFL, he's going to be subjected to the same amount of practice time as every player of his class, so it's impossible to make a gain on experience on someone after draft day. Obviously, injuries are relatively unpredictable and will hinder development (see: Grossman, Rex), but if a guy only started for 2 seasons in college and then came out, your team is better off looking at a 4 year starter.
Obviously all the experience in the world won't make up for a significant gap in skill, but 4 year starters who become high draft picks don't bust all that often.
As I stated in prior posts, it's possible that CJ could hurt our offense as a rookie if the human nature of playcalling underutilizes Moss and Cooley upon his arrival. Additionally, it reduces the number of packages we can use when he, Moss, and Cooley all need playing time. No one is saying that he doesn't represent a significant upgrade over Randle El in a vaccuum, but the practical application of a "dominant" No. 2 receiver to this offense seems like the epitome of overkill.