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Old 02-07-2008, 08:01 PM   #7
rypper11
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Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: Raleigh, NC
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Re: The myth of the 'hot' coordinator/'hot' college coach

Nice stat PainTrain, but how much do you think it has to do with the team talent as well? Most "retread" coaches go to teams with a level of talent and a "win now" mentality (except for when Joe Gibbs came back). For example, the Dolphins, Falcons and Ravens are a few years from the playoffs and hired a "hot coordinator" to shape their future. As such, Sparano, Smith and Harbough will lose more than they win this year, and probably next. 8-8 would probably be out of reach for BB on any of these teams.
On the other hand, the Seahawks (5 straight years in the playoffs) want a "retread" to continue the level they are at. The same for last year's Chargers and Cowboys. Both wanted a retread to take the next step with.
So, a "young hot coach" will have his struggles with a team. If the fans and owners are impatient he will get fired and win elsewhere (see Belichick, Bill). If they are patient, and it is the right coach, they eventually win (Jeff Fisher didn't post a winning record until his 5th season. Sean Payton's sophomore season was less than a thing of beauty).
The question is, are we looking for a retread to take us to the next level? Or "the young hot name" that will have his struggles but eventually be a great HC? What is our team talent now?
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