jsarno's top 5 picks week 3.
dboyz got me thinking I should post my picks weekly in hopes that I could earn some fellow skins fans some money. Thus far on the season I am 8-2. (went 3-2 week 1, and 5-0 last week, for an earnings of $250 thus far at $50 a game) I only pick 5 games every week, no more, no less.
ps- I only bet the spread, never the over / under, and I ALWAYS stay away from the Skins cause heart will never win you money!
Here are my picks, hope they help.
1- Oakland +9.5. I am not on the Buffalo bandwagon. I know they are "good", but they are not 9.5 points good. Oakland is young and will make this game close.
2- Miami +12.5 The patriots will win this game, but the Fins have almost always played the pats close with the exception of last year when the pats beat the piss out of everyone. In 06, 05 and 04, the dolphins split the series with the pats...worst loss was only 14 points. The way the pats are playing, I just don't think 12.5 is enough the take the pats.
3- Carolina +3 Gus Frerotte is taking over for Jackson, but I don't think that's enough to get that offense off the ground...also Adrian Peterson has a hurting hammy. On the other side, Carolina has Steve Smith back this week, and they seem to be doing all things right to win. I'll take carolina straight up, but if the bookies want to give me 3, I'll gladly take it!
4- Tennessee -4.5 Houston is still rusty from the preseason, and has a revolving door at RB and soon to be QB. The extra week off due to the hurricane will hurt houston, not help. Meanwhile, the Titans look like a much better team with Collins at the helm. I see at least a 7 point win for Tennessee.
5- Indianapolis -4.5 You can only keep a great team down so long. Indy is a great team, with a potent offense that has yet to take flight. I am not saying they are going to put up 45 points this week, but they will win by a td. It seemed that at the end of the game last week, they shook off the funk they were in to pull out the win. Jacksonville is hurting waaay too much with the loss of their two starting guards, and Garrard lost what made him great last year.
I'll try to keep up with this every week. Hope my picks help. Feel free to disagree.
__________________
Zoltan is ZESTY! - courtesy of joeredskin
|