Quote:
Originally Posted by FRPLG
There are no "sure things". I would venture a guess that linemen in the later part of the first round are as successful as those taken in the teens on average. Tripp could probably speka more to that. It's not like there is no talent past the top 15. There are probably 4 or 5 pro bowlers in the second half of the 1st and on. Historically that is.
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True that. Even the best personnel men draft a bit above 50%, so there are no sure things and more picks in a draft gives a better shot at making picks which pan out. People sometimes forget that the draft is something like a game of chance because there is so much which cannot be predicted.
You are right that there should be presumable starting talent throughout the first round. There still should be a tackle, DE, or LB who can start soon who will be available late in the first round. With a trade-added #2 pick, in a lucky draft year we pick up a good player who can start in his first or second year as well.