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Old 06-21-2009, 10:13 AM   #13
ethat001
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Join Date: Apr 2008
Location: Atlanta, GA
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Re: Brandon Marshall anyone

Quote:
Originally Posted by GTripp0012 View Post
Here's all the wide receivers drafted within the top three picks in the last 20 years:

1. Keyshawn Johnson
2. Charles Rogers
3. Andre Johnson
4. Larry Fitzgerald
5. Braylon Edwards
6. Calvin Johnson

11 pro bowls between these guys, with only one bust. I'd say the conversion rate on elite-level college wide receivers has been pretty good. After the first three picks though, those 30 million signing bonuses, then busts mix in pretty evenly with successful players.
GTripp -- nice work on that list. I'd salivate over having one of those. I guess if you have an elite WR you'd be willing to draft top 3 & give up a $30 million bonus, they are probably worth it.

I still think with the typical draft bust percentages -- that unless your front office is better than the rest of the league at spotting top talent -- it makes more sense to get *young* free agents like Marshall. You may pay more, but you're much more likely to get a winner.

I still wouldn't just give away our draft, but I value proven *young* FA far more than risky & costly draft picks.
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