[Lotus]

This year's Football Outsider Almanac came out today. For what it is worth, here are their predictions for mean wins:

Washington 7.8
Dallas 8.0
NY Giants 10.0
Philadelphia 9.3

Chicago 10.5
Detroit 5.8
Green Bay 7.4
Minnesota 8.8

Atlanta 6.6
Carolina 8.3
New Orleans 7.8
Tampa 7.2

Arizona 5.6
St. Louis 8.2
San Fran 5.7
Seattle 9.9

Buffalo 5.3
Miami 6.4
New England 11.4
NY Jets 6.2

Baltimore 8.8
Cincinnati 6.9
Cleveland 6.6
Pittsburgh 9.6

Houston 6.9
Indianapolis 11.5
Jacksonville 10.2
Tennessee 9.3

Denver 4.9
Kansas City 6.7
Oakland 6.0
San Diego 12.5

They predict that the Chargers will win the Super Bowl.

If you don't understand the numbers, that 7.8 for Washington means that they, by averaging projections, predict the Skins will win about 8 games. The 12.5 for San Diego means that, by averaging projections, San Diego should win 12 or 13 games.

In the past, sometimes Football Outsiders are remarkably correct, such as correctly predicting that Minnesota would win 10 games last year. Sometimes, however, they have been way off, such as predicting that Seattle would win 10.5 games last year.