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Old 01-05-2010, 03:11 PM   #869
BigHairedAristocrat
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Join Date: Dec 2008
Posts: 4,712
Re: Report: Shanahan to DC done deal

Quote:
Originally Posted by SmootSmack View Post
BHA, are you taking into account times when Shanahan's Broncos won the division and earned a bye while Cowher's Steelers had to play a Wild Card game? I mean to me that's essentially a playoff win (with an asterisk) when you earn a bye.
I'm not getting into that level of detail. I didnt break down playoff wins/losses. I broke down regular season wins/losses and playoff results.

Its a "what have you done for me lately" league. What Shanahan did almost 20 years ago is about as relevent to what Joe Gibbs 1.0 did.

What we should all be most concerned about is what did they each do in their past 3-10 years, because it most closely resembles what we could expect here.

Last 3 years
Cowher - 43-14 (0.708) in the Regular Season. Playoff Runs: 2. Results: 1 Loss in the AFC Championship Game, 1 Superbowl Championship.

Shanahan 24-24 (0.500) in the Regular Season. Playoffs Runs: 0.

Last 10 years
Cowher - Playoff Runs: 6. Results: 2 Losses in the AFC Divisional Game, 3 Losses in the AFC Championship Game, 1 Superbowl Championship.

Shanahan - Playoff Runs: 4. Results: 3 Losses in the Wild-Card Round, 1 Loss in the AFC Championship Game (to the Steelers).

Based on their recent records, with Shanahan, we can expect to make the playoffs less than half the time. When we do make the playoffs, it'll be as a wild-card and 75% of the time we'll lose in the wild-card round. Basically, Shanahan in Washington should feel A LOT like Gibbs 2.0. If that's good enough for you, then I guess we just have different hopes and expectations for our team.
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