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Old 02-14-2010, 10:41 AM   #14
53Fan
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Re: The Mid Round QB fallacy

You have a much better chance of getting a good player at any position in the first round. I don't think that's a surprise. If you draft a QB in the first round you'd better hope he's a good one because it can set your franchise back for years if he isn't.

There are 32 starting QB's in the NFL. In the last 10 years 26 QB's have been drafted in the first round. That's 26 out of 32 positions available.

There are 160 starting o-line positions available and 42 o-linemen have been drafted in the first round in the last 10 years. That's 42 out of 160 available positions.

It's obvious that the percentage of QB's taken in the first round compared to the positions available is pretty high compared to o-linemen. In that case more starting QB's should come from the first round percentage-wise than o-linemen. There are simply more players from the o-line starting in the NFL who were taken in the later rounds because there are more positions to fill. Just because you start on the o-line doesn't mean you're one of the best. I think we're proof of that. So I agree with Paintrain that your chances of getting a quality QB are better in the first round. The same goes with any position.
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