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Originally Posted by GusFrerotte
Depends on the QB in question. You get a cool handed customer like say a Peyton Manning type, who guided a decent program to a BCS run, you better snag him if available. You have to do it.
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You only have to do it if your franchise is in desperation mode.
(Trying to re-build and appease the fanbase with a "face" of the franchise)
And plus no one knows if a Peyton Manning is gonna be Manning or turn out like Ryan Leaf. Many well respected GMs had Leaf over Manning.
It all goes back to this statement made by Bill Walsh and often repeated by Mike Lombardi-
"Very few people know how to properly evaluate a QB and fewer still know how to coach them"
If you have a stable franchise and trust that your staff can develop a QB you draft one when it suit you and you groom him to be your starter.
Bill Walsh and Mike Holmgren NEVER took a 1st round QB.
Look at the league right now how many are 1st rounders?
None of these guys are (were) Warner, Brady, Favre, Brees, T. Jackson, Cassel, Hasselbeck, Schaub, Romo, Delhomme, Moore, Orton.
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Right now we are Donovan MCNabb or bust, and it might be a 50/50 proposition with Dononvan since his WR corp doesn't look so promising at the moment.
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Okay, follow my logic on this one.
We have virtually the same receiver corps as last year minus ARE.
I personally don't think ARE is gonna cripple our passing game.
So it comes down to wether you think McNabb+Shanahan+improved OL
can produce a better passing game then Campbell+Zorn+Worst OL in the league.
The answer is pretty simple for me.
And if McNabb is a 50/50 success failure proposition then what would the odds for a rookie QB be? 15/85?
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If the McNabb experiment goes bust fast, you are faced with a Shuler scenario all over again. Better to have someone to really groom under Donovan than wait a few years. Then you will probably get yet another HC and/or GM if that occurs(getting a QB later than sooner) I don't think Snyder is going to want to wait another 5 years to get a winner.
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Most team are always grooming QBs and i think its a smart thing to do.
Holmgren for example produced several solid to starting caliber QB from his system all without ever drafting a 1st round QB.
Of course they should groom a QB, i said that in my post and i'm sure they'll draft a QB next year and groom them, but i would doubt that they would take one in the 1st round what would the reason be?
McNabb gives them at least 2-3 years to groom a QB a suitable replacement or QB of the future the right way.
Why would it take 5 years?
There is no way Snyder fires Shanahan.