The accuracy or predictive value of forecasting is a myth.
It leads to this type of spurious logic:
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"Has there ever been a red-headed quarterback in the NFL who's really done well?" a coach asked one reporter last week. "It sounds idiotic, but is there any way that could be a factor? We've wondered."
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From MMQB Peter King
Read more:
Despite an explosion in information - 04.25.11 - SI Vault
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Rotoworld points out that red-headed quarterbacks historically haven't been successful in the NFL. They cite the likes of Jeff Garcia and Todd Marinovich. Carson Palmer is also a red head, but I'm not sure if he helps the concern or goes against it.
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Its also a myth that comp%=accuracy.
Accuracy is about ball placement and ball placement can only be determined by watching a QB throw a tedious amount of throws.
Its also a myth that comp% is a variable that one can reasonably isolate and attribute to the QB alone without factoring in scheme, personnel i.e pass protection and receiver talent.
At the end of the day QB evaluation and football evaluation in general doesn't lend itself to evaluation through stats alone.