Quote:
Originally Posted by GTripp0012
Your 65 active HOFs estimate isn't inclusive of the fact that about half of each year's hall of fame class includes players whose playing days ended 15-30 years earlier. I don't think that these players necessarily have a better case than the 40th best active player (Ben Roethlisberger, for example, on the top 100 players list), but we tend to remember the past more fondly, which means the 65 active hall of famers estimate is too high.
The other way to look at it is that 65 players, once inducted, would comprise about 13-17% of the entire hall of fame, which includes contributors such as coaches, front office types, owners, and NFL films execs. So even if you cut the 65 by just 2/3s to 43, you'd still have to count maybe a Mara, an Accorsi, a Polian, and a Belichick or Dungy in that total.
Still, I don't think that detracts from this being a really good thread idea. I'll go team by team so I can organize my thoughts as I write.
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I appreciate the compliment on the thread. I actually thought about what you said before I mentioned the 65. I took a sample size of the last 5 years, and the
players who got inducted were actually closer to 6 than 5 per year. I said 5 to be conservative. The non-older players that get inducted averaged at least 14 years in the league, I said 13 to be conservative once again. To your comment of players who haven't played for 30 years getting in limits the number of recent players to get in, that is semi-true but misleading. Because 30 years down the road these players will be the ones being fondly remembered and put in the hall. Its a cycle. Just because they don't get in immediately doesn't mean they won't get in their last few years they are eligible. 65 I believe to be accurate because although I am being conservative based on my numbers, I believe the amount of people let in the hall will decrease in a few years. My conservancy I believe will balance out the decrease in eventual inductees over time.