[KI Skins Fan]

When I look at this scenario that JoeRedskin provided via ESPN I tend to relax a bit concerning the probability of our getting a QB in the upcoming draft.

•1. Indianapolis: Peyton Manning's age and injury situation would compel the Colts to strongly consider drafting a QB.

•2. St. Louis: The Rams' current leadership loves Sam Bradford. Question is, will the Rams' current leadership survive the season?

•3. Minnesota: The Vikings selected Christian Ponder with the 12th overall choice in 2011.

•4. Jacksonville: Blaine Gabbert is just getting started.

•5. Carolina: Suffice to say, the Panthers are pleased with Cam Newton.

•6. Miami: The Dolphins have needed a franchise quarterback for years.

•7. Washington: Shanahan has young pass rushers and a young left tackle. He needs a quarterback.

•8. Arizona: The Cardinals made a huge financial commitment to Kevin Kolb.

•9. Philadelphia: Michael Vick's contract and presence would steer the Eagles toward other positions.

•10. Cleveland: Colt McCoy hasn't done enough to deter the Browns from considering a QB early.

•11. Seattle: The Seahawks haven't drafted a QB since using a 2009 sixth-rounder for Mike Teel.

One thing I haven't thought about much is this: What if Peyton Manning comes back healthy? The Colts have a ton of money invested in him, his value to the team is virtually inestimable, and they have many needs other than QB. Would they trade out of the #1 slot to pick up more pieces to put around Manning instead of taking Luck? It would have to be considered. Does anyone here know if the Colts could even afford the cap hit of having Manning and Luck on their roster?

Secondly, whether we have a shot at Luck or we go after another highly rated QB, we're probably going to have to compete with some other teams to move up in the draft in order to pick that QB. We may need to offer up more and better high draft picks to either Indy, St. Louis, or Minnesota to beat out Miami, Seattle, or even Cleveland to get that pick. Winning such a bidding war would adversely affect our upcoming draft and probably the one after that. Is that something the Skins would want to do and should they do it? For Luck? For one of Barkley, Jones, or RGIII?

I think you can see why I think that we win if all four of these players come out this year. Either the cost in draft picks to get one of them would be far less dear or we could simply wait for one of them to fall to us in the draft.

Now, Andrew Luck is a special case, IMO. If the Colts are willing to trade out of the #1 slot, the Skins will need to assess if Luck is likely to be the next great NFL QB. I'm talking future HOF'er. Could he do for us what Peyton Manning did for Indy? If the answer is "yes", then they should go all in. If it is "no", then the focus should either shift to one of the other top QB's or we should draft a QB later depending on how many of the top 4 QB prospects come out.

There may be some especially difficult decisions that the Skins management will need to make concerning the QB position in the upcoming draft.