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mlmpetert · 02-29-2012, 12:57 PM

The problem with the author's argument is that he's completely wrong. The Rams second overall pick is only worth what he calls the true asset value, aka intrinsic value, if the Rams use the pick. But if traded (sold), the second overall pick is worth exactly what another team is willing to pay for it. The best way to figure out a trading price is to look at recent trades under similar circumstances, just like MIke McCoy once did.

The things working for the Rams is that the second round pick will be a QB, which is the most demanded position. They also got the new CBA helping them out with the rookie wage scale making 1st round picks more affordable.

The things working against the Rams is that they already have a supposed franchise QB on their roster, and it seems there are less teams then usual in dire need for a franchise QB. Clevland has Colt McCoy, Miami can have Matt Flynn, and the Chiefs have Cassel and Orton. Unfortunately the Redskins probably have the greatest need out of everyone in the draft. But as backup options we will all have some decent FA and cheap trade possibilities, like Henne or Manning, plus options that are contingent on who lands RGIII, like McCoy if the Browns get trade up. And then of course there are a couple other QBs not named Luck or Griffen in the draft.

At this point i think everyone is just waiting to see what Miami does with Matt Flynn. If they sign Flynn, Cleveland and Washington remain as the only 2 teams in the top 10 that would offer anything reasonable to the Rams for RGIII. I think the Browns have made a major turnaround in their franchise and i just cant see them paying very much to move up 2 spots to get RGIII. The Rams may be cool with trading outside of the top 10 but the new CBA will start to work against them at that point; never has it been so cheap to sign a top 10 pick.

Its the Rams job to get as much as possible and its everyone elses job to pay as little as possible. It should be interesting as to what happens, but i just cant see anyone completely overpaying. Thank goodness Vinny is gone.

02-29-2012, 12:57 PM	#12
mlmpetert Playmaker Join Date: Nov 2006 Location: Richmond Posts: 3,261	Re: What is the 2nd overall pick worth? The problem with the author's argument is that he's completely wrong. The Rams second overall pick is only worth what he calls the true asset value, aka intrinsic value, if the Rams use the pick. But if traded (sold), the second overall pick is worth exactly what another team is willing to pay for it. The best way to figure out a trading price is to look at recent trades under similar circumstances, just like MIke McCoy once did. The things working for the Rams is that the second round pick will be a QB, which is the most demanded position. They also got the new CBA helping them out with the rookie wage scale making 1st round picks more affordable. The things working against the Rams is that they already have a supposed franchise QB on their roster, and it seems there are less teams then usual in dire need for a franchise QB. Clevland has Colt McCoy, Miami can have Matt Flynn, and the Chiefs have Cassel and Orton. Unfortunately the Redskins probably have the greatest need out of everyone in the draft. But as backup options we will all have some decent FA and cheap trade possibilities, like Henne or Manning, plus options that are contingent on who lands RGIII, like McCoy if the Browns get trade up. And then of course there are a couple other QBs not named Luck or Griffen in the draft. At this point i think everyone is just waiting to see what Miami does with Matt Flynn. If they sign Flynn, Cleveland and Washington remain as the only 2 teams in the top 10 that would offer anything reasonable to the Rams for RGIII. I think the Browns have made a major turnaround in their franchise and i just cant see them paying very much to move up 2 spots to get RGIII. The Rams may be cool with trading outside of the top 10 but the new CBA will start to work against them at that point; never has it been so cheap to sign a top 10 pick. Its the Rams job to get as much as possible and its everyone elses job to pay as little as possible. It should be interesting as to what happens, but i just cant see anyone completely overpaying. Thank goodness Vinny is gone. __________________ www.NRABannedGunsRaffle.org