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Old 03-05-2012, 10:18 PM   #5
GTripp0012
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Join Date: Mar 2006
Location: Evanston, IL
Age: 37
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Re: Redskins: 2012 Off-Season-Free Agency/Trades

I want to lay out exactly why Philadelphia might get the itchin' for Griffin, and probably already put in their call to the Rams.

Right now, the Redskins have a relatively uncontested trade-in for the second pick. I think the Dolphins would be willing to top the Redskins offer for Griffin if they can't get Flynn or Manning, but unless sending Griffin to the AFC is enough of an incentive for the Rams to trade for the 8th pick instead of the 6th pick, the Redskins have the flexibility to top anything the Dolphins offer. If the Dolphins are willing to trade their first, second, and next year's first for Griffin, then yeah, the Redskins would have a tough decision to make: overpay for Griffin, or concede him to the Dolphins. They again, if the Rams think there are just four elite non-QB prospects, the Redskins might still have best offer.

But the one team that runs a system that fits Griffin even better than the Redskins might be the Eagles. He may not be worth more to them because they already have Vick, but they are only financially committed to Vick through the 2012 season. They can feasibly cut him loose after the season if they want to go with Griffin and need the cap room, making it more like a Matt Hasselbeck-Jake Locker type of scenario, something the Titans willingly entered into.

And the Eagles have two second round picks, and can easily afford to give up one of the two to justify a trade up from 15th to 2nd. With that said, if the Redskins wanted to do the Eli Manning deal, I doubt the Eagles would try to beat it. The 15th pick plus a mid second rounder is not quite as valuable to the Rams as the 6th overall pick. But what it could do is force the Redskins' hand on their decision to not trade that 39th overall pick. If Philadelphia were willing to trade both second rounders, Washington would need to offer their second rounder and third rounder to beat that offer. So Philly puts us in a world of hurt if they do that. Shanahan's in a no win situation: say no and he has to put a defense on the field that can defend RG3 WHILE rebuilding the offense, say yes and we're worse off as a team than if we said no.

And to be clear, I would not overpay for RG3 (read: give up the 39th pick) to keep him from the Dolphins. I would overpay for RG3 (and give up the 39th pick) to keep him from the Eagles. Because the Eagles aren't in a draft position to get Tannehill (who fits Philly's offense MUCH better than Washington's, even though he'll have to learn their terminology), preventing them from getting RG3 forces them to marry Vick for another season (2013), something I think they wouldn't do in a perfect world.
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