Re: Compensatory Picks -- Can someone explain the justification?
i've linked to a different forum where a guy predicts comp picks weeks or a month ahead of time with 98% accuracy or so. you'd have to search for the old comp picks threads.
basically a bunch of nfl guys get in a room and figure it out, there's not really a formula as much as guidelines.
basically FA losses vs FA gains (taking into account # of starts, post season awards, CONTRACT VALUE, etc).
If you lose a pro bowl player and don't sign anyone, that's basically a 3rd round pick (well, high 4th round pick). if you lose someone and sign an FA starter as equal value, you might get a 7th or might not. everything else is in between.
NE, PHI, and BAL tend to get a ton of comp picks every year, since (usually) they sign cheap FAs and draft a ton of players.
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