Quote:
Originally Posted by skinster
Sorry for the tripple post; but I'd like someone to respond to why my assertion that there will be roughly 72 NFL players playing today that will one day make the HOF. I did the math, and there was an average of 6 HOF inductees over the last 5 years, and everyone drafted in the 1980s or after had an average career of 14 seasons. When we do the math that means that there should be 84 HOF players taken today; but for conservancy's sake I shortened the average length of a HOF player to 12 to make it at roughly 72 HOF players playing today (rookies through 18 year vets).
Don't tell me that "there is a backlog preventing these players from getting in." Because one day the current players will be the backlog preventing future players from getting in.
Are you really telling me you think that there are 72 players playing today whose end of their careers will warrant the tag, "greatness?" I don't.
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The logic behind your math seems to be a little fuzzy at best, but I'll play along, 72/1696 players in the league right now = 4%. You really don't think 4% of the league consists of great players?