What is Andrew Luck Worth?

[Landry44]

Originally Posted by diehard

If could I see into the future and know that Luck will be the franchise QB everyone thinks he will be then sure, he's worth 2/3 first rounders. Because no one knows how he'll pan out with THIS team, he's not worth the risk.

Thank you brother for talking sense.

[TenandSix:Unacceptable]

It's time for us to go after the qb we want. In fact, it's long overdue. Give up whatever is necessary to make that happen. Do not find some stop-gap player if we can't get what we want. Grossman is just as good as any other if we have to wait another year. But for the love of God, if the opportunity is there to get a Manning, Bradford, Luck or RG3 type player- pull the trigger.

[EARTHQUAKE2689]

If the Rams get the #1 pick, I think we will pull the trigger on the Luck trade.

[NC_Skins]

Originally Posted by EARTHQUAKE2689

If the Rams get the #1 pick, I think we will pull the trigger on the Bradford trade.

Fixed that for you.

[EARTHQUAKE2689]

Originally Posted by NC_Skins

Fixed that for you.

Don't fix what isn't broken.

[skinsfaninok]

At least a first this year and maybe one next yr plus a second this year but I think luck is worth it

[EARTHQUAKE2689]

Everyone thought the Falcons gave up way too much to get Julio Jones (I kinda still do) but it doesn't seem so stupid now. If that's who you want you pay what you have to to get him.

[skinsfan69]

Originally Posted by EARTHQUAKE2689

Everyone thought the Falcons gave up way too much to get Julio Jones (I kinda still do) but it doesn't seem so stupid now. If that's who you want you pay what you have to to get him.

It was too much. Is it going to get them over the hump and beat GB? Probably not. Green Bay still has a better offense. Never ever pay that much for a wr.

[EARTHQUAKE2689]

Originally Posted by skinsfan69

It was too much. Is it going to get them over the hump and beat GB? Probably not. Green Bay still has a better offense. Never ever pay that much for a wr.

That wasn't the point, I thought they gave up too much too, but that's who they wanted and they paid for him. If Luck is who Shanny wants he will pay for him.

[Lotus]

Originally Posted by EARTHQUAKE2689

Everyone thought the Falcons gave up way too much to get Julio Jones (I kinda still do) but it doesn't seem so stupid now. If that's who you want you pay what you have to to get him.

I get what you are saying. If you leave out the fact that Jones is a WR, the point remains that you get what you pay for. And if you want a once-in-a-generation QB, you have to pay big.

Of course, the flip side of the Jones scenario is that the Browns have 2 first rounders this year, making it tough to outbid them if they are fervent after Luck.

[irish]

Originally Posted by Lotus

I get what you are saying. If you leave out the fact that Jones is a WR, the point remains that you get what you pay for. And if you want a once-in-a-generation QB, you have to pay big.

Of course, the flip side of the Jones scenario is that the Browns have 2 first rounders this year, making it tough to outbid them if they are fervent after Luck.

How do you know he's a once in a generation QB? He does look good but that in college which may or may not translate to the pros.

[Lotus]

Originally Posted by irish

How do you know he's a once in a generation QB? He does look good but that in college which may or may not translate to the pros.

Of course no one KNOWS that and therein lies the rub. There's risk but also reward here. He is well worth the risk if he is a rare QB. If we trade multiple picks and he sucks, then we're screwed for a long time. Personally I'd like to take the risk.

But this is a hypothetical thread about events which likely won't happen. Most likely Tannehill becomes our QB and I'm ok with that.

[irish]

Originally Posted by Lotus

Of course no one KNOWS that and therein lies the rub. There's risk but also reward here. He is well worth the risk if he is a rare QB. If we trade multiple picks and he sucks, then we're screwed for a long time. Personally I'd like to take the risk.

But this is a hypothetical thread about events which likely won't happen. Most likely Tannehill becomes our QB and I'm ok with that.

There is risk and reward but the problem is that the loss of the draft picks is certain (100%) while the probability of the reward equalling or exceeding that loss is very small (maybe 10%). I just dont think that kind of risk to reward ratio is one any rational thinker would accept.

[skinsfan69]

Here's what I don't understand. If Barkely would've came out he would've been the 2nd or 3rd QB taken. But is he any better than Nick Foles? Foles is putting up great numbers and he's on a shitty team this year. Foles seems to have a bigger arm and looks like a better athlete. I'd take a look at this guy if I were Shanahan/Allen.

[Big C]

i would not give up 3 1st rounders for luck. id rather get a guy like foles in the 2nd rather than bet our forseeable future on an unproven rookie qb, regardless of how much of a "sure thing" he is. i do think he will be a great qb, but its not a sure thing...