T.D. showed Moss some love!

[MTK]

Originally Posted by TheInspector

So we're all stuck on 70%?

What's the difference between 60% and 70% for a season?

60% of 450 = 270
70% of 450 = 315
315-270 = 45 completions
45/16 = 2.8 completions per game

So, is it unrealistic to believe that Brunell will complete 2-3 more passes per game? I don't think so. I think the argument should be made that the attempts will decline--not so much on 70%.

Either way, it's just statistics--not my opinion.

Nobody in the entire league has completed 70% in the last 4 years.

I'm not even sure the last time someone has done it, because ESPN's stats database only goes back to 2002.

If Brunell does complete 3 extra passes per game, I guarantee you his attempts will go up as well.

[scowan]

Moss averaged 5.25 catches per game last year. To get to 100 and play in all 16 games he would only have to get 1 more catch per game. That is realistic to me. The problem is how all of the other catches are distributed. Cooley averaged almost 4.5 catches per game and no one else averaged more than 2 catches. Let's say some drops from last year and some more people getting open (El and Lloyd) happen this year. Then maybe some of Brunell's incompletions and throws out of bounds, and/or QB scrambles because no one got open suddenly go away...... Maybe there would be another 7-10 catches in there somewhere per game. That would 4-5 for Lloyd and 4-5 for Randle El and maybe a screen pass to Portis a couple of times. Then you get to where Brunell is completing 20 passes a game instead of the 16 passes per game he averaged last year.

It is all possible.

[Misterbillysells]

The real problem with moss catching that many passes is that we're going to be so far ahead in the third and fourth quarter of every game that we're not gonna be throwing that much...clintons numbers will be down too because betts and rock will see most of the action late in games...and all of lenny p's worries about jason campbell not getting enough playing time can be put to rest too

[GTripp0012]

Originally Posted by Mattyk72

Nobody in the entire league has completed 70% in the last 4 years.

I'm not even sure the last time someone has done it, because ESPN's stats database only goes back to 2002.

If Brunell does complete 3 extra passes per game, I guarantee you his attempts will go up as well.

Steve Young completed 70.4% in 1994. It hasn't been done since then, and I don't think it was ever done before.


-EDIT- Ken Anderson completed 70.6% in 1982. He only played 9 games that year, but still had enough attempts to qualify.

[gibbsisgod]

Originally Posted by Misterbillysells

The real problem with moss catching that many passes is that we're going to be so far ahead in the third and fourth quarter of every game that we're not gonna be throwing that much...clintons numbers will be down too because betts and rock will see most of the action late in games...and all of lenny p's worries about jason campbell not getting enough playing time can be put to rest too

i like the way you think misterbillysells. are they already engraving the sb trophy?

[SmootSmack]

Saunders is more about spreading the wealth. The only player who has ever caught 100+ passes in a season on a team where Saunders was a coach was Tony Gonzalez in 2004 (102 receptions)

In fact, I don't believe anyone else has even approached 90

[joecrisp]

Originally Posted by TAFKAS

Saunders is more about spreading the wealth. The only player who has ever caught 100+ passes in a season on a team where Saunders was a coach was Tony Gonzalez in 2004 (102 receptions)

In fact, I don't believe anyone else has even approached 90

That's a great point, and it's also worth noting that Saunders certainly didn't have the wealth of receiving talent in KC that he will have at his disposal in DC. Gonzalez was really Saunders's only worthwhile target that defenses were forced to account for on any given play. That being the case, Saunders learned to rely quite heavily on his runningbacks to catch passes out of the backfield-- when they weren't rushing for 200 yards a game.

In DC, not only will Saunders have a great runningback in Portis to keep defenses honest against the run, but he will also have a trio of receivers-- in addition to Cooley-- whose potential for production could rival that of "The Posse", a trio that managed to post 1,000 yards individually in a single season. I'm not saying that feat will be duplicated by the group Gibbs and company have assembled for the 2006 season, but Saunders and Gibbs are fellow graduates of that fabled Coryell School of Aeronautics, so the present synergy of talent, knowledge and circumstance does make for some intriguing possibilities.

[bigSkinsfan61]

mark is a quaLITY QBACK LIKE IT OR NOT he will adapt to al's system as well as the rest of our offense mark will not throw the ball to anyone but a redskin reciever or he'll throw it away...Smart guy I' m thinkin..... i cant wait for the season to start either

[That Guy]

he's not getting 100. we'll be running more this year, and moss was never a possession guy anyways. it''s hard to hit 100 catches when you're taking every single one of them 30-40 yards downfield.

[DaveyFoSho]

Originally Posted by Mattyk72

This isn't a west coast system based on high % passes. There's no way Brunell will hit 70%. If he hits 65% I'll be shocked.

Look at the WRs we have, it's going to be a passing game that will take advantage of their speed. That means deep routes, and lower % types of throws.

I don't think we'll see him throwing as many balls away, but I just don't see him hitting on 70%.

True story Mattyk...However...what we will see Moss getting his 1500+ (up from 1483)yard season...and quite possibly either Lloyd or Randel El Following with 1000+...should be interesting to see whether or not Brunell goes out early to mid season and the youngster takes over and provides us with that deep arm we need...

[DaveyFoSho]

Also...if 84 catches is enough to get Mr. Moss 1483 yards....then thats all i think we need him to get....who cares about 100.....17.7 Avg.