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WFT vs Bills Pregame Thread

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Old 09-21-2021, 07:53 PM   #46
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Re: WFT vs Bills Pregame Thread

Week 1 Steelers @ Bills is a fun game to watch if you like tough defensive football.
14 of the Steelers' 23 points came on: a blocked punt in the redzone returned for 6; and an incredible and kinda flukish TD catch by Diontae Johnson, DB tips the ball and he stills makes the catch, TD set up by a long DPI on 3 down from the 50.

So, I really don't see us winning this game, but, things that give me a little bit of hope:
-It is possible to put Allen under a lot of pressure, Pittsburg did it, so if our DL wants to prove they are actually top 5 in the NFL, now is the time.
-Heinickeee

Things that I already feared:
-Very tough, disciplined and complete defense
-Fierce DL, Taylor will have to make plays on the run
-Josh Allen can throw and so far we haven't proved we can handle mobile QBs well...

One scary thing that I discovered watching the game:
-The Bills running game is legit. Singletary has really good vision and ability to make a lot with very little space. Gap responsibility by our front 7 will be key.
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Old 09-21-2021, 10:13 PM   #47
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Re: WFT vs Bills Pregame Thread

Here are a few stats I pulled through the first two games. Obviously a small sample size and different opponents. This could be the best offense Buffalo has faced so far, and the best defense WFT has faced so far.

Honestly, if the defense plays to their ability, this should be a win. However, if the defense plays like they have the first two games, it's a sure loss.

Offense

Points: WFT 46 / BUF 51
Yards gained per pass attempt: WFT 7.0 / BUF 5.3
Yards gained per rush attempt: WFT 4.3 / BUF 4.7
Yards per play: WFT 5.6 / BUF 4.8
Total yards: WFT 666 / BUF 685
Percentage of drives ending in an offensive score: WFT 50% / BUF 37.5%
Average points scored per drive: WFT 2.3 / BUF 2.13
Percentage of drives ending in a turnover: WFT 10% / BUF 12.5%

Defense

Points allowed: WFT 49 / BUF 23
Yards allowed per pass attempt: WFT 6.6 / BUF 3.8
Yards allowed per rush attempt: WFT 4.4 / BUF 3.6
Yards allowed per play: WFT 5.7 / BUF 3.7
Total yards allowed: WFT 815 / BUF 468
Percentage of drives allowing a score: WFT 55% / BUF 17.4%
Average points allowed per drive: WFT 2.45 / BUF 0.7
Percentage of drives forcing a turnover: WFT 10% / BUF 8.7%
QB Pressures per drop back: WFT 25.3% / BUF 33%
Missed tackles: WFT 6 / BUF 18
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Old 09-21-2021, 10:33 PM   #48
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Re: WFT vs Bills Pregame Thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by Chief X_Phackter View Post
Here are a few stats I pulled through the first two games. Obviously a small sample size and different opponents. This could be the best offense Buffalo has faced so far, and the best defense WFT has faced so far.



Honestly, if the defense plays to their ability, this should be a win. However, if the defense plays like they have the first two games, it's a sure loss.



Offense



Points: WFT 46 / BUF 51

Yards gained per pass attempt: WFT 7.0 / BUF 5.3

Yards gained per rush attempt: WFT 4.3 / BUF 4.7

Yards per play: WFT 5.6 / BUF 4.8

Total yards: WFT 666 / BUF 685

Percentage of drives ending in an offensive score: WFT 50% / BUF 37.5%

Average points scored per drive: WFT 2.3 / BUF 2.13

Percentage of drives ending in a turnover: WFT 10% / BUF 12.5%



Defense



Points allowed: WFT 49 / BUF 23

Yards allowed per pass attempt: WFT 6.6 / BUF 3.8

Yards allowed per rush attempt: WFT 4.4 / BUF 3.6

Yards allowed per play: WFT 5.7 / BUF 3.7

Total yards allowed: WFT 815 / BUF 468

Percentage of drives allowing a score: WFT 55% / BUF 17.4%

Average points allowed per drive: WFT 2.45 / BUF 0.7

Percentage of drives forcing a turnover: WFT 10% / BUF 8.7%

QB Pressures per drop back: WFT 25.3% / BUF 33%

Missed tackles: WFT 6 / BUF 18
6 missed tackles? Where is the stat for missing in action?

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Old 09-21-2021, 11:14 PM   #49
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Re: WFT vs Bills Pregame Thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by Chief X_Phackter View Post
Here are a few stats I pulled through the first two games. Obviously a small sample size and different opponents. This could be the best offense Buffalo has faced so far, and the best defense WFT has faced so far.

Honestly, if the defense plays to their ability, this should be a win. However, if the defense plays like they have the first two games, it's a sure loss.

Offense

Points: WFT 46 / BUF 51
Yards gained per pass attempt: WFT 7.0 / BUF 5.3
Yards gained per rush attempt: WFT 4.3 / BUF 4.7
Yards per play: WFT 5.6 / BUF 4.8
Total yards: WFT 666 / BUF 685
Percentage of drives ending in an offensive score: WFT 50% / BUF 37.5%
Average points scored per drive: WFT 2.3 / BUF 2.13
Percentage of drives ending in a turnover: WFT 10% / BUF 12.5%

Defense

Points allowed: WFT 49 / BUF 23
Yards allowed per pass attempt: WFT 6.6 / BUF 3.8
Yards allowed per rush attempt: WFT 4.4 / BUF 3.6
Yards allowed per play: WFT 5.7 / BUF 3.7
Total yards allowed: WFT 815 / BUF 468
Percentage of drives allowing a score: WFT 55% / BUF 17.4%
Average points allowed per drive: WFT 2.45 / BUF 0.7
Percentage of drives forcing a turnover: WFT 10% / BUF 8.7%
QB Pressures per drop back: WFT 25.3% / BUF 33%
Missed tackles: WFT 6 / BUF 18
Bills' D didn't allow 23 points, 7 of those came from a blocked punt ;-)

Interesting compiling though, thanks.
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Old 09-22-2021, 12:57 PM   #50
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Re: WFT vs Bills Pregame Thread

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6 missed tackles? Where is the stat for missing in action?

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Agreed in that you have to be in position to make a tackle (not running down field after their QB), it's worth noting that to my mind, we've improved on tackling since last year. No more (or at least few) throwing themselves at BC's feet etc. I like watching St Juste play because he's a sure tackler.

Always believed that without sound fundamentals then it's so much harder to build a strong D. Now that includes gap assignments, so we're not there yet, but personally I believe this D can only get better over the coming weeks.
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Old 09-22-2021, 04:23 PM   #51
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Re: WFT vs Bills Pregame Thread

Bills -8? I'd take that
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Old 09-22-2021, 05:12 PM   #52
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Re: WFT vs Bills Pregame Thread

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Originally Posted by skinsfaninok View Post
Bills -8? I'd take that
Give me Skins +8 all day

https://www.twobillsdrive.com/commun...-wft-at-bills/

They seem a bit too high on themselves and their 1-1 record.
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Old 09-22-2021, 08:03 PM   #53
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Re: WFT vs Bills Pregame Thread

Nice takes from Mark Bullock on Galdi's pod , I'm thinking of subscribing to his site to have access to his breakdowns, but those are long af, interesting too, but not sure I'd have time to actually read em.
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Old 09-22-2021, 08:08 PM   #54
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Re: WFT vs Bills Pregame Thread

Heinicke is number 1 in both PFF's big time throw rate and turnover worthy throw rate.

Means he's making the most big gain and/or tight window throws while also making the least plays that couda/shouda been picked/fumbled.

Just a stat, but the narrative that we know for a fact he's not the answer needs to stop.
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Old 09-22-2021, 08:49 PM   #55
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WFT vs Bills Pregame Thread

Nobody on this board is going to be happy after this game. Our coaching staff is just not good enough. It’s a damn shame too because there is enough young talent on this team to be legitimate contenders for a while.
Do not bet on us to cover. It is not happening.
Bills 38
WTF 23
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Old 09-22-2021, 09:00 PM   #56
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Re: WFT vs Bills Pregame Thread

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Originally Posted by punch it in View Post
Nobody on this board is going to be happy after this game. Our coaching staff is just not good enough. It’s a damn shame too because there is enough young talent on this team to be legitimate contenders for a while.
Do not bet on us to cover. It is not happening.
Bills 38
WTF 23
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Old 09-22-2021, 10:48 PM   #57
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Re: WFT vs Bills Pregame Thread

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Originally Posted by SunnySide View Post
Give me Skins +8 all day

https://www.twobillsdrive.com/commun...-wft-at-bills/

They seem a bit too high on themselves and their 1-1 record.
A buddy I work with asked me today about game .. he is a gambler .. I told him nobody loves the skins more than me however I would bet the HOUSE on the bills at anything under 9 .. he took Bills for a grand ! Guys I’m hoping but this game ain’t gonna be close .. even if The D shows up Taylor is due for a letdown .. I just don’t see this going our way .I thought he was gonna bet like a hundred .. not what he did .. now I’m nervous 😬
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Old 09-23-2021, 12:52 AM   #58
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Re: WFT vs Bills Pregame Thread

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A buddy I work with asked me today about game .. he is a gambler .. I told him nobody loves the skins more than me however I would bet the HOUSE on the bills at anything under 9 .. he took Bills for a grand ! Guys I’m hoping but this game ain’t gonna be close .. even if The D shows up Taylor is due for a letdown .. I just don’t see this going our way .I thought he was gonna bet like a hundred .. not what he did .. now I’m nervous 😬
Haha cool story. He's a grown man though, still rooting for us to pull the upset.
But I agree with you, I don't see how we win this one, and they have the tool to make it ugly.
With a couple of breaks going our way, TH making some plays and the DL finally stepping up big time, we may be able to keep it close.
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Old 09-23-2021, 06:20 AM   #59
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Re: WFT vs Bills Pregame Thread

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Like I said do not take the WTF to cover. You will thank me later.
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Old 09-23-2021, 06:53 AM   #60
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Re: WFT vs Bills Pregame Thread

This game is just the beginning of the brutal part of our schedule. They need to pull off a win against 2 or 3 out of
Bills
Saints
Chiefs
Packers
Broncos
Bucs

None of those are likely wins, so they might as well get an upset this week just for the hell of it.



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