[Chief X_Phackter]

Originally Posted by Scalper

That is why you must commit to spending multiple picks over multiple years to find a true franchise QB. This means trading up is generally unwise, though that is how Chiefs got Mahomes, but even then they didn't trade a King's Ransom to move up to #1. They were at #27, they traded that pick, plus a 3rd, plus #1 next year which ended up being #22. Less than many people wanted to give up for Stafford. There is a difference between THE DAN deciding to trade up for a player (RGIII), and pro scouts or competent FOs.

Finally, your analysis is skewed. because it does not consider where all the successful NFL QBs came from. One might draw many conclusions from your analysis, but one is that you don't have to draft in the 1st round, top-15 especially, to find a franchise QB. What separates the booms and busts? How you support and develop a QB is also critical. Does it really matter who the Skins drafted at QB, or the Jags, or Browns, given what dysfunctional messes they have been? Virtually no QB had chance of success, how do you factor that into stats? Teams consistently reach on QBs out of desperation also.

It would be one thing if we were loaded with talent all over our roster and only a QB was missing to contend for SB, but that is NOT this team, not by a LONG shot. We should continue to draft and develop talent, including at QB, and continue targeting QBs in draft we think have franchise-QB potential. This is less glamorous, less immediate gratification than the trading the farm modality all the homers seem to love, but it is the sound approach. So the real question, now that the Rams saved us from ourselves, is what QBs outside the top-4 in the draft would make sense at #19 or in the 2nd round? What QB makes sense later in draft in 5th or 6th round? What 2 QBs should we draft this year early round and late round?

They traded two 1st round picks, and a 3rd round pick for Mahomes, and he was the 10th pick in the draft not number one. I don't remember anyone on this forum suggesting that we should trade that much for Stafford.