Quote:
Originally Posted by GTripp0012
Theres an article written in the Pro Football Prospectus 2006 that has a good track record of projecting QBs based on their college stats, based on using Games Started and Completion %, and high numbers of both seem to correlate to success in the NFL. Campbell's projection is off the charts. Your boy, Alex Smith, fares pretty well by it too.
Quinns a 4 year starter for a major program in which his career completion % will hover around 60% at the end of the season. That's good for the system.
It has been wrong before. But in general, if you suck (a term used loosely, cause of the hype factor) in college, like Kyle Boller, who vastly outplayed his projection, you won't be much in the NFL.
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you're hanging your hat too much on that article. that article projects kyle boller as the best NFL QB EVER, so it's a bit flawed. i believe campbell will probably be above average, but probably not mcnabb like.
brady quinn projects better, but he isn't all that tough and he's erratic (like eli manning). sometimes he just forgets all the rules about technique and justs plays awful... but he usually turns it around within the same game.
I think if jarret or johnson declare early, they're actually safer picks. Either way, quinn is probably a raider, and i don't think we'll be able to trade up that high (it gets really expensive) and take that big a contract for yet another QB if we can't at least see what the last QB we traded up and drafted can do for us :P.