Quote:
Originally Posted by SolidSnake84
Somewhere, there is this mathematical table made up by some really smart guy, that shows all the great running backs, their age season by season, and their amount of carries and stats.
What you see is that it's not so much their age, as the total number of carries. When they hit a certain number of carries, it's all downhill from there. Earl Campbell was the only guy who was the exception on that chart, but you can see the other greats. Its why Ricky Williams is still so productive, because he hasnt hit that career number of carries.
Unfortunatley, Portis hit that number of carries i believe 2 seasons ago, so what we saw is pretty much right on the money according to that chart. If somebody can find it for me, that would be great. It really is a great learning tool.
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Yeah, you don't have this kind of yardage without getting run into the ground:
2002 - 1872 AP yards, 17 TDs
2003 - 1905, 14 TDs
2004 - 1550, 7 TDs
2005 - 1732, 11 TDs
2006 - 693, 7 TDs (8 games)
2007 - 1651, 11 TDs
2008 - 1705, 9 TDs
2009 - 551, 2 TDs (8 games)
2010 - 282, 2 TDs (5 games)
TOTALS = 9,923 rush yds, 75 rush TDs/2,018 rec yds, 5 rec TDs
11,941 AP yds, 80 TDs in 9 years
So now...is it too soon to discuss whether he's HOF-worthy?
For comparison with other current HOF candidates (rush stats):
Jerome Bettis: 13,662 yds, 71 TDs in 13 years
Tiki Barber: 10,449 yds, 55 TDs in 10 years
Curtis Martin: 14,101 yds, 90 TDs in 11 years
Roger Craig: 8,189 yds, 56 TDs in 11 years
Terrell Davis: 7,607 yds, 60 TDs in 7 years
Marshall Faulk: 12,279 yds, 100 TDs in 12 years
I believe Curtis Martin and Marshall Faulk SHOULD be the first in.
And the man he was chasing for the Redskins rushing record, HOFer John Riggins (Skins + Jets stats): 11,352 yds, 104 TDs in 14 years. CP was not far behind in yards...with 5 fewer seasons.
He'll definitely be in the HOF discussion. If Tiki Barber and Terrell Davis are...Portis will be. His stats are even better than Roger Craig, who many people feel should be in already. If Portis were able to play the 12 and 13 years some of these other players had...his numbers would likely be better. But of course, we have to look at the actual totals...not what "pace" he was on that never materialized.
I really hope he's able to come back one more season to get the Skins rushing record and hit the 10,000-yard mark for his career. That will really boost his HOF chances.