Taylor Effing Heinicke

[MTK]

Originally Posted by SunnySide

CPOE (completion percentage over expected) basically is a stat that looks at what the name says.

The worst are unsurprisingly Zach Wilson (-7.9), Trevor Lawrence (-6.5), Sam darnold (-5), followed by Winston, dalton, Tyrod Taylor, Siemian, Fields, then surprisingly Mahomes (-3.5)

Heinike is 8th BEST at +2.2. Now this stat isnt an end all be all as he has Bridgewater and Tua above him but I was surprised.

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I think Turner should get a lot of credit bc he puts Heinike in positions to succeed.

The short to intermediate plays where it is all designed to just get 1 guy open and have Heinike only have to look for that one guy.

If its a play where Heinike will have to read multiple routes and go through progressions, theres always an open dump out or release for him to hit.

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Heinike is such an enigma to me. Why havent defenses gone single high safety, shadow teh back and just play the box 20 yds from the LOS?

I keep waiting for this dink and dunk offense to be shut down.

Perhaps it has to a degree. We only put up 17 points last 2 games and thats with our offense executing the gameplan pretty welll.

We run a ton but those runs per avg arent impressive.

vs Raiders, we ran 30 times for 112 yds (3.7 avg). raiders avg 4.8 per run against our run stopping D.

vs Seattle ran it 43 times, 152 yd (3.5 avg), longest run was 17 yds

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I dont know my point, I dont really have a point but I guess Im confused by our success .. but then again can you say this is a successful offense? We won so its a yes .. but the offense is an enigma.

Have we just been fortunate lately on converting 3rd and shorts? Once we stop converting are we in trouble bc we have 2-3 drives that equal points but if one of those drives doesnt convert on 3rd and short, we punt.

I want to go back and look at our scoring drives and see how many relied on 2 or more 3rd and short conversions.

Am I a hater?

Honestly im just killing the last 20 mins of work and the clock just struck 5

https://nextgenstats.nfl.com/stats/p...oveExpectation

https://www.the33rdteam.com/cpoe-explained/

At a certain point you just have to toss stats out the window and enjoy the ride.