Report claims Redskins won't cut Haynesworth

[SBXVII]

Originally Posted by SirClintonPortis

It's all about the odds of 2 or 4 regular season games in the next couple of seasons, a draft pick, and a current roster spot then. Well, management also needs to appraise his likely contributions if he were to stay.

My counteropinion is that two potential regular games lost and missing out on him "dominating" for us is not worth the roster spot, especially for a short term asset like Haynesworth currently is.

Every team who wants to "buy" AH is going to assess the risk of him not playing up to his capabilities, whatever they are. The question they would as is "what's the probability that he's going to be Mr. Dominant vs the probability that he's going to be Mr. Lemon"? Mr. Dominant will provide much utility/benefit while Mr. Phat will provide almost nothing. I don't see the chances of AH being that high that he will dominate for us because he soured the relationship with his coaches so badly. In numbers, Albert Haynesworth is capable of providing 10 utility units, but the probability of that happening is likely low. So, the expected value is of utility units is lower than his capable utility.
Also, if he were such a "guaranteed" superstar, then that 2nd round price Shanahan set would have been paid a long time ago. But hell, even the Titans and Jeff Fisher didn't want to cough up the goods.

Another matter is how long he is going affect other teams in the league. Albert Haynesworth is on the wrong side of 30 and has NEVER been durable enough to last a whole season. With his style of play, he is going to get a lot of wear and tear on his body, and his natural abilities are going to fade away.
Not only that, if he does have an impact year next year and helps the Eagles sweep us, we get to pick higher in the draft, which means a better selection of players who might contribute to use beyond the next 3 years. I think 33 years is a safe estimate of when he will no long be dominant.


Then there's the muddy waters of how much he directly hurts this team. If he goes to the Eagles, there are two games that they might win thanks to him. Then again, we might split the series even with him there or even sweep them. But, you then have to consider that "Mr. Dominant" also hurts every other team in the league.

So in short, "smart" decision makers would evaluate just how likely each of the scenarios regarding AH is going to happen, how long will impact last, and how "strong" the impact is.
I wouldn't feel bad about Haynesworth leaving dominating, because gambling that he might fail or his impact on the Redskins minimal is far more likely than having him return to being a "superstar". AH gives a new meaning to the word stupid; even if he wants the carrot at the end of the maze, will he figure out how to get there again? I doubt it. If they're really scared of him going to Philly, then lower the damn price ship him off to an some AFC team so that he gets to hurt us directly for one or none games.

If your refering to trading him to the Eagles? I'm not scared of him and I think we of all teams would know his weakness's. I'd trade him to them in a heartbeat for the right price.

BUT, I wouldn't give him away or cut him simply to rid the team of a malcontent. He was paid $32 mill to do a job for which he CHOSE not to do. For that reason alone I'd make his life miserable, suit him up every Sun., and sit him on the bench to watch the game. He would have a few options, sit on the bench and stew all year long listening to fans ridicule him from othe sidelines, or he can decide to play ball and request to get more playing time in the 3-4 defense he hates soo much, or he can pay back a large portion if not the whole portion and request a trade.