Quote:
Originally Posted by Lotus
You continue to make the same mathematical mistake. My point is pretty simple.
If every player with less than, say, 10 years experience were to retire right now, none of them likely would make the HoF because they would not have long enough careers. And this would tremendously diminish the numbers of prospective HoFers who are in the NFL right now (which is the heart of your claim), thus tremendously reducing your estimate. Therefore you MUST take into account ALL players in your math.
You keep mathematically presuming what you are trying to prove so your math works out wrong.
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2 things.
1. Every player with less than 10 years of experience aren't going to retire, that's just an absurd statement to make that won't happen. If the world ended that would also lessen the amount of HOFers in the NFL right now.
2. Even if all players with less than 10 years of experience were to retire, there is still no scenario under which all players should be taken into account. The formula stays the same....60 players just get subtracted at the end as the 10 years worth of players magically retire.
I really hate to pull this card, but I'm on a full scholarship right now because of math. Trust me, I'm right.