SS33's Weekly Predictions

Slingin Sammy 33 · 10-03-2013, 02:03 PM

Since Don hasn't been posting his weekly thread, I thought I'd start one for those interested in ATS action each football weekend. Post your picks, thoughts, strategies, etc.

Currently I'm leading The Don's league ATS at 38-25 (60%). Here's my picks this week (and yes I'm in on each one):

BUF +4.5
PHI +2.5
STL -12
NYG +10
DET +7
CAR -2.5
MIA -3
IND +3 (also IND +125 money line)
HOU +6.5

Other picks, I'm not in on these though:
NE -1
NO -1
TEN +3
DAL +9
OAK +5

Slingin Sammy 33 · 10-08-2013, 10:21 AM

8-7 overall, not a great week last week, but not terrible. EJ Manuel's 3rd qtr injury and a late scratch of Calvin Johnson contributed to a couple Ls.

Week 6 - In on these
CHI -8
STL +7
NYJ -2.5
***Correction - NYJ opened at LasVegas Hilton at +2.5, Sportsbook now showing NYJ -2.5 as of 10/8 at 2pm. ****
JAX +27.5
TEN +13.5
NO +1
AZ +12
IND -2

Other Picks - for those who need to pick all games
CLE +3
KC -9
BAL +3
PHI -1.5
CAR +2.5 (I hate this game)
CIN -8 ( I hate this game also, only going this way because Manuel out)

scowan · 10-08-2013, 11:49 AM

Anyone think the Jags can cover the 28 point spread this week against te Broncos?

Slingin Sammy 33 · 10-08-2013, 02:09 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by scowan

Anyone think the Jags can cover the 28 point spread this week against te Broncos?

Yes, here's why:

If you look at the largest point spreads in NFL history only the 1976 Steelers covered a -27 vs. Tampa in their first season. Other games where Dogs covered:

NE in 2007: -24 PHI, -20.5 NYJ, -22 MIA
SF -24 vs CIN 1993
SF -23.5 @ ATL 1987
DAL -23 vs TB 1977
NE -21 at TB 1976

- Henne will start at QB, veteran and likely to protect the ball better than Gabbert.

- Broncos D has given up 23 to NYG and 21 to OAK, averaging 27 per game.

- Jax has one of the higher SoS so far, DEN one of the lower.

Slingin Sammy 33 · 10-08-2013, 02:15 PM

Check Post #2 for NYJ correction as of 10/8 at 2pm.

Slingin Sammy 33 · 10-13-2013, 07:55 PM

As of 7:53pm, Spread is WAS +6, down from +6.5 earlier this week. I will never bet against the Skins....I recommend to stay off this game.

Slingin Sammy 33 · 10-15-2013, 05:34 PM

Overall 7-6-1 last week, not great but did pick JAX, TEN wins and pushed with AZ.

Since my picks are stats based, historically (last 4 years) my picks increase to over 63% accurate from Week 8 and on. As of Week 5, I'm still leading Don's League for ATS picks at 46-31 (59.7%). Also, in that league I never pick against the Skins, who are 1-4 ATS this year.

This week I'm in on:
CAR -6.5
DET -3
KC -7
BUF +8
NE -4.5
CLE +10
MIN +3.5

Others:
SEA -6.5
TB +7.5
JAX +8.5
DAL +2.5
TEN +5
BAL +1
IND +7

Redskins are -1 this week, I will not bet this game.

10-03-2013, 02:03 PM	#1
Slingin Sammy 33 Playmaker Join Date: Feb 2007 Location: Virginia Beach Posts: 4,347	SS33's Weekly Predictions Since Don hasn't been posting his weekly thread, I thought I'd start one for those interested in ATS action each football weekend. Post your picks, thoughts, strategies, etc. Currently I'm leading The Don's league ATS at 38-25 (60%). Here's my picks this week (and yes I'm in on each one): BUF +4.5 PHI +2.5 STL -12 NYG +10 DET +7 CAR -2.5 MIA -3 IND +3 (also IND +125 money line) HOU +6.5 Other picks, I'm not in on these though: NE -1 NO -1 TEN +3 DAL +9 OAK +5 __________________ "I would bet.....(if), an angel fairy came down and said, '[You can have anything] in the world you would like to own,' I wouldn't be surprised if you said a football club and particularly the Washington Redskins.'' — Jack Kent Cooke, 1996.

10-08-2013, 11:49 AM	#3
scowan The Starter Join Date: Aug 2005 Location: KY Age: 56 Posts: 1,559	Re: SS33's Weekly Predictions Anyone think the Jags can cover the 28 point spread this week against te Broncos?

10-08-2013, 02:15 PM	#5
Slingin Sammy 33 Playmaker Join Date: Feb 2007 Location: Virginia Beach Posts: 4,347	Re: SS33's Weekly Predictions Check Post #2 for NYJ correction as of 10/8 at 2pm. __________________ "I would bet.....(if), an angel fairy came down and said, '[You can have anything] in the world you would like to own,' I wouldn't be surprised if you said a football club and particularly the Washington Redskins.'' — Jack Kent Cooke, 1996.

10-13-2013, 07:55 PM	#6
Slingin Sammy 33 Playmaker Join Date: Feb 2007 Location: Virginia Beach Posts: 4,347	Re: SS33's Weekly Predictions As of 7:53pm, Spread is WAS +6, down from +6.5 earlier this week. I will never bet against the Skins....I recommend to stay off this game. __________________ "I would bet.....(if), an angel fairy came down and said, '[You can have anything] in the world you would like to own,' I wouldn't be surprised if you said a football club and particularly the Washington Redskins.'' — Jack Kent Cooke, 1996.

10-15-2013, 05:34 PM	#7
Slingin Sammy 33 Playmaker Join Date: Feb 2007 Location: Virginia Beach Posts: 4,347	Re: SS33's Weekly Predictions Overall 7-6-1 last week, not great but did pick JAX, TEN wins and pushed with AZ. Since my picks are stats based, historically (last 4 years) my picks increase to over 63% accurate from Week 8 and on. As of Week 5, I'm still leading Don's League for ATS picks at 46-31 (59.7%). Also, in that league I never pick against the Skins, who are 1-4 ATS this year. This week I'm in on: CAR -6.5 DET -3 KC -7 BUF +8 NE -4.5 CLE +10 MIN +3.5 Others: SEA -6.5 TB +7.5 JAX +8.5 DAL +2.5 TEN +5 BAL +1 IND +7 Redskins are -1 this week, I will not bet this game. __________________ "I would bet.....(if), an angel fairy came down and said, '[You can have anything] in the world you would like to own,' I wouldn't be surprised if you said a football club and particularly the Washington Redskins.'' — Jack Kent Cooke, 1996.

10-08-2013, 10:21 AM	#2
Slingin Sammy 33 Playmaker Join Date: Feb 2007 Location: Virginia Beach Posts: 4,347	Re: SS33's Weekly Picks 8-7 overall, not a great week last week, but not terrible. EJ Manuel's 3rd qtr injury and a late scratch of Calvin Johnson contributed to a couple Ls. Week 6 - In on these CHI -8 STL +7 NYJ -2.5 *Correction - NYJ opened at LasVegas Hilton at +2.5, Sportsbook now showing NYJ -2.5 as of 10/8 at 2pm. ** JAX +27.5 TEN +13.5 NO +1 AZ +12 IND -2 Other Picks - for those who need to pick all games CLE +3 KC -9 BAL +3 PHI -1.5 CAR +2.5 (I hate this game) CIN -8 ( I hate this game also, only going this way because Manuel out) __________________ "I would bet.....(if), an angel fairy came down and said, '[You can have anything] in the world you would like to own,' I wouldn't be surprised if you said a football club and particularly the Washington Redskins.'' — Jack Kent Cooke, 1996. Last edited by Slingin Sammy 33; 10-08-2013 at 02:15 PM.

SS33's Weekly Predictions

Locker Room Main Forum