Commanders 2023 Off-Season Thread

BaltimoreSkins · 02-03-2023, 01:24 PM

https://www.hogshaven.com/2023/2/1/2...eds-in-the-nfl

Interesting analysis of what we can expect if the Commanders draft in area of need in the rounds and the probability based on historical trends of that pick being a year 1 starter. Focused on OT, Interior O-line, LB and CB

Based on position and 16th pick in 1st round the probability (converted to percent) we get a 1st year starter if we draft a:
OT: 57%
IOL: 75%
LB: 60%
CB: 67%

After first round the odds of finding a first year starter drop dramatically at the areas of need. Perhaps at that point best player regardless of depth, trade backs for more potential picks or even use them to fill needs at FA (with Rivera's track record that might not equal to starters either)

View Poll Results: How would you address the QB1 situation for 2023?
Swing big in a trade for a veteran	2	3.77%
Trade up in the draft for a top prospect	4	7.55%
See who hits free agency	7	13.21%
Sit tight with Howell	35	66.04%
Other	5	9.43%
Voters: 53. You may not vote on this poll

02-03-2023, 01:24 PM	#11
BaltimoreSkins Pro Bowl Join Date: Jan 2008 Location: Parkton, MD Posts: 5,791	Re: Commanders 2023 Off-Season Thread https://www.hogshaven.com/2023/2/1/2...eds-in-the-nfl Interesting analysis of what we can expect if the Commanders draft in area of need in the rounds and the probability based on historical trends of that pick being a year 1 starter. Focused on OT, Interior O-line, LB and CB Based on position and 16th pick in 1st round the probability (converted to percent) we get a 1st year starter if we draft a: OT: 57% IOL: 75% LB: 60% CB: 67% After first round the odds of finding a first year starter drop dramatically at the areas of need. Perhaps at that point best player regardless of depth, trade backs for more potential picks or even use them to fill needs at FA (with Rivera's track record that might not equal to starters either) __________________ Marshon Lattimore has no Inner Excellence

Commanders 2023 Off-Season Thread

Locker Room Main Forum