Commies vs. Dolphins pregame thread

[KI Skins Fan]

Originally Posted by skinsfan69

I don't understand the draft pick position talk. Let's lose to get a better pick when that pick has a 50% chance or less of making it in the NFL.

Because the higher the pick the more it is worth in trade. So trade the higher pick to get more picks (chances) to hit on 50/50 picks, if that suits your point of view.

I see it a bit differently: The better GM's make more good picks than the other GM's, so they must be hitting at a higher rate than the average rate of 50% for all GM's. Conversely, most of the others must be hitting on picks at a rate less than 50% for the average rate of all GM's to be 50%. So, the answer might be to hire a better GM and give him more picks to work with at, let's assume, a 70% hit rate. That's what Josh Harris seems to be trying to do.

Of course, we're both talking at a 30,000 feet level because, as you and i know, drafting a player is much more complex than our basic points of view.