Trade Help...

[jsarno]

Originally Posted by WillH

Thanks man, my only concern with starting Wayne is that he is going up against Denver's D which is #1 against the pass thus far. Granted they haven't played great teams, but his production has dropped off the past couple weeks against worse pass D's.

As for Curtis, I figure last week was a fluke too, but they are going up against that terrible Giants pass D. I know they shut us down, but we have a less experienced QB and an inJured Oline. So these are the only reasons I have been thinking about Curtis over Wayne...I just keep going back and forth about it. AHH!!!

1- Well, if there is one thing you will never see me do, it's underestimate the Colts offense. I honestly feel it's the best offense year in and year out that the planet has ever seen. So I will always take the Colts offense vs any defense. We've seen them pick apart the best of defenses.

2- As SS pointed out, Wayne had a monster day vs Denver last year and that day he had the most catches, yards and TD's since 2004 vs Green Bay. (although it is worthy to note that the 3 td's was the only time in his career he scored 3 tds vs any team in his career)

3- Curtis had career highs last week. His previous career highs were in 05 with 9 catches and 105 yards. Also, that was his first multiple TD game in his career.

4- (a)That being said, Phily does not like to pick a #1 WR, they spread it around a lot. Look at 06, Reggie Brown had a career day 6 rec, 121 yrds, 2 tds, the next week he had 4 rec, 77 yards and 1 td, the next 4 weeks he had a total of 6 receptions.

4- (b)Stallworth had a couple great days as well, 6 rec, 141 yrds and 1 td, next game was 5 for 81, game after that was 1 for 26. He had another big game in 06 of 4 for 111 and 1 td, followed up by 3 for 31 and 1 td.

4- (c)Even T.O. in 05 had 11rec, 171 yds, and 1 td, then followed it up with 5 rec for 50 yards.

In other words, when Phily has a WR that has a career day, they shy away from them the next week. It's POSSIBLE they will get another TD, but they clearly don't target them as much, and since Curtis is not a clear cut great WR, I am expecting them to spread it around, AND I am expecting that the defenses they will face will Target Curtis as their #1 which will severely limit his production.

5- Last but not least, you need to ask yourself what your willing to lose with. Would you be pissed if you did start Curtis and he got 2 catches for 40 yards, and Wayne was on your bench and had 7 catches for 110 yards and 2 tds? I know I'd rather lose with my best talent on the "field". I hate it when I think someone will have a great game and they don't and I lose because of it. Always use what got you there.