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Poll: Obama leads in Mich., Wis., Minn., Colo.

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Old 10-15-2008, 10:55 AM   #1
MTK
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Re: Poll: Obama leads in Mich., Wis., Minn., Colo.

ah there's the spin, I was worried there for a bit
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Old 10-15-2008, 11:56 AM   #2
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Re: Poll: Obama leads in Mich., Wis., Minn., Colo.

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Originally Posted by Mattyk72 View Post
ah there's the spin, I was worried there for a bit
What did I spin in my comments. So polls are allways right? Did I not say McCain has an uphill battle. Thsoe questions about Obama and people getting out to vote will be questions that you will hear all day on election day. So that my friend is "The No Spin Zone".
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Old 10-15-2008, 04:09 PM   #3
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Re: Poll: Obama leads in Mich., Wis., Minn., Colo.

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What did I spin in my comments. So polls are allways right? Did I not say McCain has an uphill battle. Thsoe questions about Obama and people getting out to vote will be questions that you will hear all day on election day. So that my friend is "The No Spin Zone".
No, the polls aren't always right, but more often than not they are a strong indicator of what's to come. Barring a miracle McCain is done.
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Old 10-16-2008, 09:26 AM   #4
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Re: Poll: Obama leads in Mich., Wis., Minn., Colo.

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Originally Posted by Mattyk72 View Post
ah there's the spin, I was worried there for a bit
Spins, facts, believe whatever you want.

Oversampling Democrats is the modus operandi for the media and pollsters. It has been well documented and people still fall for it every time. Some recent polls have been oversampled by as much as 20% in favor of Obama and he's still only ahead by about 5% in most polls.

I believe THAT should be making Obama nervous. He needs a bigger lead if he wants to feel comfortable with the polls. Not leading by at least 10% with the polls being weighted in his favor spells trouble for him on November 4.

One of the main reasons for the state of shock and the backlash of many Democrats after the past two elections was because they believed their own polls.
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