Don's Crystal Ball Week 1 Picks

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Originally Posted by D'BOYZ

week 1 usually has a lot of Overs not a lot of tape for Defense to gameplan... only week were good offense has advantage over defense.

Yeah this game wasn't even close to over.. it had promise when the first drive went for a td but it want south after that

Vegas knows theres not as much game planning defenses can do week one and adjust their over/under accordingly. In the last 2 years ive paid attention to week 1 over/under lines and ive been real reluctant to take the over in week one.

My thoughts are offense is more of a thinking man’s game and based more on timing, execution, and QB-WR relationships, while defense is more instinctual/reactionary. So I think when you have new plays, new players starting or a new system in place the learning curve on offensive is greater than the learning curve on defensive. Plus big changes like complete change in scheme or major personal don’t happen on defense nearly as much as they do on offensive. So that being said I think defense has the advantage in week one. I think Vegas also takes this in consideration, but in the last 2 years Im pretty sure if you took the under across the board you would have gotten more than 50% right.