I think I found the next Tom Brady..

[drew54]

NFL Draft Picks 2011 - Ricky Stanzi the Best QB in the 2011 NFL Draft? - Fantasy Football 2011

[Dirtbag59]

Again this is great if you have a young first round or second round QB on board. Otherwise it's foolish to pin your hopes on an inaccurate 5th round QB.

[rbanerjee23]

so any quarterback with similar college stats is the next Brady? Stupid thread...

[Alvin Walton]

Originally Posted by rbanerjee23

so any quarterback with similar college stats is the next Brady? Stupid thread...

Are you going to kick his dog too?

[SBXVII]

Originally Posted by rbanerjee23

so any quarterback with similar college stats is the next Brady? Stupid thread...

Looks it's no different then fans comparing the other positions to current players. All he's doing is pointing out the similarities.

[Nomad]

Originally Posted by rbanerjee23

so any quarterback with similar college stats is the next Brady? Stupid thread...

Yep...........

[Dirtbag59]

If you're looking for patterns then the next Tom Brady is probably going to be available around 2023.

Johnny Unitas - 1955
Joe Montana - 1979
Tom Brady - 2000

These guys aren't available every year. They are once in a generation type players. Heck they even end up skipping a generation. In short when Tom Brady has been retired for a few years then you can start looking. Otherwise you MIGHT find Matt Cassel, Tony Romo, or Warren Moon if you're lucky.

[SmootSmack]

What makes Unitas, Montana, and Brady similar? Just out of curiosity

[Dirtbag59]

Originally Posted by SmootSmack

What makes Unitas, Montana, and Brady similar? Just out of curiosity

All three were afterthoughts on draft day (9th round, 3rd Round, 6th Round). All three went on to win at least three championships (Unitas was knocked out of his third against the Cowboys in Super Bowl V but still gets credit for starting the game). All three have played in 4 Championship games. All three have defined or will define the QB position for their generation. Montana came into the league 24 years after Unitas and Brady came into the league 21 years after Montana. So on average a "Tom Brady" will come along every 22.5 years.

And now it has come to my attention that their draft round needs to be dividable by 3.

Still the thing to take away from this fun with numbers is that even if there is a "next Tom Brady" the chances of finding him are ridiculously low. By my definition there have only been 3 of these guys in the last 56 years.

[freddyg12]

Originally Posted by Dirtbag59

All three were afterthoughts on draft day (9th round, 3rd Round, 6th Round). All three went on to win at least three championships (Unitas was knocked out of his third against the Cowboys in Super Bowl V but still gets credit for starting the game). All three have played in 4 Championship games. All three have defined or will define the QB position for their generation. Montana came into the league 24 years after Unitas and Brady came into the league 21 years after Montana. So on average a "Tom Brady" will come along every 22.5 years.

And now it has come to my attention that their draft round needs to be dividable by 3.

Still the thing to take away from this fun with numbers is that even if there is a "next Tom Brady" the chances of finding him are ridiculously low. By my definition there have only been 3 of these guys in the last 56 years.

Smoot asked & you responded! Nice summary dirt. I hate to use him as a standard, but how often does the 'next Tony Romo' come along? I mean, the guy is pretty good but he's great for an UDFA. I can't think of any other qb at present that was undrafted.

[Ruhskins]

Originally Posted by SmootSmack

What makes Unitas, Montana, and Brady similar? Just out of curiosity

It's definitely not the haircut. LOL.



"Now, Johnny Unitas -- there's a haircut you could set your watch to."

[Longtimefan]

Originally Posted by SmootSmack

What makes Unitas, Montana, and Brady similar? Just out of curiosity

"Winners"....aside from that I digress.

[skinsfaninok]

Elway and Brady are the best QBs of all time to Me but again that for Another discussion

[SBXVII]

Originally Posted by skinsfaninok

Elway and Brady are the best QBs of all time to Me but again that for Another discussion

I'll agree with on Brady..... Elway is another story. HALF decent QB in the right place at the right time in the right system. I just don't see the fascination from actually watching him throughout all the years. Personally he looked and sounded like a he didn't have a clue.

[Lotus]

Originally Posted by CultBrennan59

Ricky Stanzi QB, Iowa, I believe will be the next Tom Brady. Why?
If you look at their stats they are almost identical to when Brady was in college, let me list off some of their similarities:

- Both played in the Big Ten
- Both have almost identical winning records
- Both led their teams to major bowl wins and were named MVP
- Both have the same knock on them coming out of college to the pros; "Good arm, highly accurate, highly intelligent, frail framed, winning QB's"
- Both are 6'4, 210-ish lb's
- Both have alright, but not highly touted NFL, receivers to throw to in college
- (Even though Stanzi still has a few more games to play) their touchdown to interception ratio is almost identical.
- they both take what the defense gives them.
- they both played in NFL systems in college
- they both are graded in the later rounds of getting drafted
- they both kind of look alike


Now is Ricky going to be exactly like Tom Brady? No most likely not, but theres definitely a good chance that he ends up being almost as good, and he's definitely worth a draft pick in the 2nd round range IMO.

And being that Shanahan right now isn't too satisfied with McNabb we may take a chance on a guy like this in the draft, especially if we're looking at all these other college QB's right now (Locker,Luck). The one thing Stanzi is which Brady isn't; More mobile, he runs a 4.8 forty.

The relevant parts of your description of Stanzi sound more like Ponder to me.

I'm not sure about the other parts, i.e., playing in the Big Ten is not really a predictor of future success.