Better Rookie Season Stats Griffin or Luck?

[NC_Skins]

Stat wise, I think Luck will and not for the reason you may think. Let's think about this. Teams that play from behind normally usually end up with a ton of yardage stats, and played a big part in why Newton racked up the type of numbers he did. That crappy Panthers team was always down and usually by more than one score.

Now, the Colts are a lot crappier than the Panthers so I imagine they'll be playing from behind a good portion of this season. We on the other hand will most likely have a balanced attack with a slight higher % of passes and our defense is legit.

RGIII is going to have the better W-L record though.

[30gut]

Originally Posted by NC_Skins

Stat wise, I think Luck will and not for the reason you may think. Let's think about this. Teams that play from behind normally usually end up with a ton of yardage stats, and played a big part in why Newton racked up the type of numbers he did. That crappy Panthers team was always down and usually by more than one score.

Actually, part of the reason I think Luck could post better stats then Griffin is because I expect them to be trailing often.
But, I also think the Colts are gonna be better then people think.
I think their net offensive weapons rivals our own.

However; I think you miss characterize Cam's yardage numbers by saying their were always down and usually by more then 1 score.
The Panthers were in almost every game, I think its more accurate to say that they chose to pass by design not because they were compelled to by score.

We on the other hand will most likely have a balanced attack with a slight higher % of passes and our defense is legit.

RGIII is going to have the better W-L record though.

Def agree about the defense and the W-L record.
But, I don't think you can call our pass/run balance slight towards the pass.
Nothing about Kyle's playcalling suggests to me that we'll have a balanced attack; I think we will remain a pass focused team except now we have a QB and receiving corps that makes the pass oriented balance justifiable.
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BTW:
What type of rookie season production does Luck need to justify the 'best prospect since' hype? (60.0%--4,051yds--7.8ypa--21 TDs--17 Ints--84.5 Rating +706 rush yds--14 rush TDs)

[NC_Skins]

Originally Posted by 30gut

However; I think you miss characterize Cam's yardage numbers by saying their were always down and usually by more then 1 score.The Panthers were in almost every game, I think its more accurate to say that they chose to pass by design not because they were compelled to by score.

I will give concede that point that their offense was more of a open up type offense than the old running style they once had. It worked for the most part, but they seemed to have trouble producing in the 4th quarter when it mattered. (in terms of points)

Fun fact: he had below 225 yards passing in all the wins except one. The lone one against us.


I don't see how you can equate the Colts offensive weapons to ours. They aren't even in the same ballpark anymore. All of their weapons are gone except Wayne.

[30gut]

BTW:
What type of rookie season production does Luck need to justify the 'best prospect since' hype? (60.0%--4,051yds--7.8ypa--21 TDs--17 Ints--84.5 Rating +706 rush yds--14 rush TDs)
__________________

Originally Posted by NC_Skins

...I don't see how you can equate the Colts offensive weapons to ours. They aren't even in the same ballpark anymore. All of their weapons are gone except Wayne.

At first blush I automatically thought we were clearly better in every area but I think its close in most areas.

OL: Colts
I give them a slight edge on the OL.
I'm assuming both the Colts and our OL will improve but this is where they rankled last year:
http://www.profootballfocus.com/blog...-lines-part-1/
PFF rates their OL ahead of ours and that's without Ben Ijalana and offseason additions of Samson Satele

Receiveing Corps: Redskins

I think we have a better overall receiving corps but again its close.
WRs:
The starting WRs based on production:
Wayne (a true #1 WR) + Collie is at least equal to Garcon + Morgan/Hankerson
Hankerson, Moss and Armstrong give us greater depth though

(imo Ty Hilton was an absolute steal for them though)

TEs:
Best overall player: Fred Davis however the Colts drafted the 2 best TEs in the draft and I give the combo of Fleener/Allen the edge of Davis/Cooley(health questions)

Running game: Push

I give us the slight edge because of scheme but Donald Brown was a producitve back last year and Carter was decent.
Running game is another area I think is closer then people realize.


Scheme: Redskins

I give us the edge overall because of continuity but I think Bruce Arians is a very good OC that was Peyton Manning's QB coach during his rookie season and helped groom Rothlisberger w/Steelers. Their already borrowing some concepts from Standford and will feature a Coltesque double TE based offense.

[EARTHQUAKE2689]

Originally Posted by 30gut

BTW:
What type of rookie season production does Luck need to justify the 'best prospect since' hype? (60.0%--4,051yds--7.8ypa--21 TDs--17 Ints--84.5 Rating +706 rush yds--14 rush TDs)
__________________



At first blush I automatically thought we were clearly better in every area but I think its close in most areas.

OL: Colts
I give them a slight edge on the OL.
I'm assuming both the Colts and our OL will improve but this is where they rankled last year:
http://www.profootballfocus.com/blog...-lines-part-1/
PFF rates their OL ahead of ours and that's without Ben Ijalana and offseason additions of Samson Satele

Receiveing Corps: Redskins

I think we have a better overall receiving corps but again its close.
WRs:
The starting WRs based on production:
Wayne (a true #1 WR) + Collie is at least equal to Garcon + Morgan/Hankerson
Hankerson, Moss and Armstrong give us greater depth though

(imo Ty Hilton was an absolute steal for them though)

TEs:
Best overall player: Fred Davis however the Colts drafted the 2 best TEs in the draft and I give the combo of Fleener/Allen the edge of Davis/Cooley(health questions)

Running game: Push

I give us the slight edge because of scheme but Donald Brown was a producitve back last year and Carter was decent.
Running game is another area I think is closer then people realize.


Scheme: Redskins

I give us the edge overall because of continuity but I think Bruce Arians is a very good OC that was Peyton Manning's QB coach during his rookie season and helped groom Rothlisberger w/Steelers. Their already borrowing some concepts from Standford and will feature a Coltesque double TE based offense.

I fail to see how you can say their running game is on par with ours, that their offensive line is better, and you're still on that Cam Newton was the best qb prospect you ever saw huh?

[30gut]

Originally Posted by EARTHQUAKE2689

I fail to see how you can say their running game is on par with ours, that their offensive line is better,

Pretty simple our running games was 25th w/4.0 ypc theirs was 26th w/4.2 ypc hence on par.
Lead backs: (them) Donald Brown 645 yds 4.8 ypc/Roy Helu 640 yds 4.2 ypc

I showed the stats behind my opinion of our respective OLs coupled with the fact that they're adding a starters at OG/OT.

...and you're still on that Cam Newton was the best qb prospect you ever saw huh?

Funny how I've never said the above nor is the above topic brought up in this thread.

However this question, which is stated is:
What type of rookie season production does Luck need to justify the 'best prospect since' hype? (60.0%--4,051yds--7.8ypa--21 TDs--17 Ints--84.5 Rating +706 rush yds--14 rush TDs)

[EARTHQUAKE2689]

Originally Posted by 30gut

Pretty simple our running games was 25th w/4.0 ypc theirs was 26th w/4.2 ypc hence on par.
Lead backs: (them) Donald Brown 645 yds 4.8 ypc/Roy Helu 640 yds 4.2 ypc

I showed the stats behind my opinion of our respective OLs coupled with the fact that they're adding a starters at OG/OT.

Funny how I've never said the above nor is the above topic brought up in this thread.

However this question, which is stated is:
What type of rookie season production does Luck need to justify the 'best prospect since' hype? (60.0%--4,051yds--7.8ypa--21 TDs--17 Ints--84.5 Rating +706 rush yds--14 rush TDs)

Just to tickle my fancy, whose stats are those you posted? It's not Albert Pujos. Yeah not buying the lineman or running game being equal or theirs being better.

[The Goat]

Originally Posted by 30gut

Pretty simple our running games was 25th w/4.0 ypc theirs was 26th w/4.2 ypc hence on par.
Lead backs: (them) Donald Brown 645 yds 4.8 ypc/Roy Helu 640 yds 4.2 ypc

I showed the stats behind my opinion of our respective OLs coupled with the fact that they're adding a starters at OG/OT.

Funny how I've never said the above nor is the above topic brought up in this thread.

However this question, which is stated is:
What type of rookie season production does Luck need to justify the 'best prospect since' hype? (60.0%--4,051yds--7.8ypa--21 TDs--17 Ints--84.5 Rating +706 rush yds--14 rush TDs)

Well reasoned and convincing; however, Shanny still has to be given the benefit of the doubt can put together a serious rushing attack, and probably gives us the edge on that one. The bigger question is whether we'll (finally) see his offense (what I want) instead of Kyle's past first, second and third offense (bit o sarcasm). Anybody who says we've had a balanced attack isn't paying attention...hopefully this is the year.