Guard watches coast for oil slick's first wave


joethiesmanfan
06-24-2010, 03:10 PM
That was a reader comment, indeed. However, the reader is correct in their worst-case scenario, as the article clearly explains what COULD happen. Yes it's a nightmare scenario, but it is all scientifically plausible.

At this point with the disaster, everybody from you and me, to BP and the government are speculating, just like that person that posted the comment.

The bastards are making things up as they go, so it's impossible for somebody to not speculate on what the outcome is.

We can be honest with ourselves and say assuredly that the above scenario will probably not happen, but being factual and scientific, the possibility exists if certain things happen.

The biggest danger thus far is the well casing exploding from the pressure due to the fact that it is already damaged, and already leaking. That is why they stopped "Top Kill", because pieces of the blowout preventer were literally coming up from the well. They knew that much more and the well could explode.

So the issue from here out is can the well casing survive long enough for the relief wells to be finished, AND survive the pumping of mud and cement to permanantly close the damaged well. The other big maybe is that the relief wells work. The scientists say it is a 30 to 40% chance that they are successful.

And one last thing, as of today, the existing blowout preventer is titling at a 15 degree angle. It has been falling over the past few weeks, and unless supports are installed, it will fall over, ruining the containment cap and pipe that is taking oil and gas to the surface...

Thanks snake, so I am the Prophe-seer, or in BP's case the Prophe-C-YA!!!

JoeRedskin
06-24-2010, 03:16 PM
That was a reader comment, indeed. However, the reader is correct in their worst-case scenario, as the article clearly explains what COULD happen. Yes it's a nightmare scenario, but it is all scientifically plausible.
...

The biggest danger thus far is the well casing exploding from the pressure due to the fact that it is already damaged, and already leaking. That is why they stopped "Top Kill", because pieces of the blowout preventer were literally coming up from the well. They knew that much more and the well could explode.
So the issue from here out is can the well casing survive long enough for the relief wells to be finished, AND survive the pumping of mud and cement to permanantly close the damaged well. The other big maybe is that the relief wells work. The scientists say it is a 30 to 40% chance that they are successful.

And one last thing, as of today, the existing blowout preventer is titling at a 15 degree angle. It has been falling over the past few weeks, and unless supports are installed, it will fall over, ruining the containment cap and pipe that is taking oil and gas to the surface...

Why, y'all just need to send ol' TTE out there to change out that there pipe with a couple of lug nuts and rubber cee-ment! He'll have that bad boy up and running in no time. You and you're know-it-all scintists are just overthinking the problem!

Trample the Elderly
06-24-2010, 03:35 PM
Why, y'all just need to send ol' TTE out there to change out that there pipe with a couple of lug nuts and rubber cee-ment! He'll have that bad boy up and running in no time. You and you're know-it-all scintists are just overthinking the problem!

They've done such a wonderful job so far.

jdlea
06-24-2010, 03:39 PM
I found this interesting:

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budw38
06-24-2010, 06:32 PM
No way a wave would destroy all of Florida , the wave would have to be close to 20,000 ft high , and would need much more sustained wake/power to travel across 300 miles of land . These types of waves usually travel up to five miles inland .

Trample the Elderly
06-24-2010, 07:53 PM
Why, y'all just need to send ol' TTE out there to change out that there pipe with a couple of lug nuts and rubber cee-ment! He'll have that bad boy up and running in no time. You and you're know-it-all scintists are just overthinking the problem!

I was trained in the petroleum field in 1997 at the Army Quartermaster School in Fort Lee Virginia. But I'm sure that's just some hay seed institution for cousin banging hicks to you.

I know some guys who can fix this leak.

United Association Homepage (http://www.ua.org/)

mlmpetert
06-24-2010, 10:27 PM
I just followed the link you posted. The part in bold is actually just a comment from a reader, not an "article." So really it's just some joe shmo totally speculating. Who knows if it's based in any fact whatsoever.

I guess its based on some facts, but the conclusion is pure speculation

Summery:
Will the BP Oil Spill Set Off A Tsunami? [Updated: 6/21 - See Below] | David DeGraw (http://daviddegraw.org/2010/06/will-the-bp-oil-spill-set-off-a-supersonic-tsunami/)

actual articles:

The Associated Press: Gulf oil full of methane, adding new concerns (http://www.google.com/hostednews/ap/article/ALeqM5gIXWYBTpLtSayJtg41LKXpxSxVPAD9GDJBO84)

Helium - Where Knowledge Rules (http://www.helium.com/items/1864136-how-the-ultimate-bp-gulf-disaster-could-kill-millions/print)

mlmpetert
06-24-2010, 10:28 PM
I was trained in the petroleum field in 1997 at the Army Quartermaster School in Fort Lee Virginia. But I'm sure that's just some hay seed institution for cousin banging hicks to you.

I know some guys who can fix this leak.

United Association Homepage (http://www.ua.org/)

Are you pro union guy?

dmek25
06-25-2010, 05:58 AM
Are you pro union guy?
if he is, thats a real surprise. for the record, i am( not that it matters)

SolidSnake84
06-25-2010, 09:18 AM
No way a wave would destroy all of Florida , the wave would have to be close to 20,000 ft high , and would need much more sustained wake/power to travel across 300 miles of land . These types of waves usually travel up to five miles inland .

For what it's worth, i dont think that scenario would happen, even though its scientifically possible.

The wave though, would have some power driving it, as they just said last night on TV that the undersea collapse and subsequent pressure explosion would be 2.5 times the force of the Chernobyl nPP explosion.

Even if this stuff never happens, and i pray it won't, it's scary that this scope of a disaster is now scientifically possible, when 3 months ago BP told all of their lies, said the leak was only 3,000 barrels a day, blah blah blah. Now their disaster they caused could potentially kill millions of people, ruin the gulf permanantly, and now destroy most of the entire state of florida.

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